Movies · resolved market
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60-69?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x792826e71bbded72507c682d09e1b18ff66deb5d3cd3acb8398a42ddbac3b7ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 0c | 5,608$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 1,370$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 142 | 12%17 W · 125 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…838bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,367$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,027$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 8c | 982.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…9508backed Yes | 14c | 768.07$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.89 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…c22bbacked Yes | 19c | 746.08$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 7c | 685$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 9c | 457.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…ebe8backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 6.9%5 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 11c | 398.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 6c | 344.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 7c | 312.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 11c | 282.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes | 16c | 266$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…fed9backed Yes | 7c | 261.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Yes | 7c | 204.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…399cbacked Yes | 26c | 189.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 76c | 184.67$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 23c | 178.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed Yes | 9c | 164.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 9c | 159.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd240…562cbacked Yes | 17c | 144.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 73c | 88.27$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfead…b304backed Yes | 30c | 67.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…00e6backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60-69?this page
- Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be 80 or higher?No won
- Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50-59?No won
- Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70-79?Yes won
- Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 50?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.