Movies · resolved market
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be 80 or higher?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b23970bbfb83719e132489efc0ccba1fbb456a695edeb1d83c6f733f908ab03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x440d…ceaabacked Yes | 29c | 55,767$16,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,172.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…40febacked No | 71c | 55,767$39,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,172.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 0c | 6,897$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…8b76backed Yes | 9c | 4,705$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.59 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x247f…ff45backed Yes | 0c | 4,119$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeba…9679backed Yes | 1c | 3,351$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 2,517$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 142 | 12%17 W · 125 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 5c | 1,723$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…fed9backed Yes | 2c | 1,583$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,521$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 11c | 1,349$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.85 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,079$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed Yes | 19c | 1,064$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.71 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 2c | 790$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 704.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 8c | 646.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87dc…2afdbacked Yes | 4c | 615.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked Yes | 13c | 563.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 22c | 536$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.21 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…f055backed Yes | 7c | 466.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 11c | 399.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…838bbacked Yes | 21c | 378.47$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed Yes | 12c | 376.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 18c | 347.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…6582backed Yes | 13c | 312.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 7c | 309.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 7c | 247.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…ebe8backed Yes | 11c | 244.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 72 | 6.9%5 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked No | 76c | 235.88$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 226.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 13c | 205.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 7c | 198.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Yes | 12c | 173.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf1…80a7backed Yes | 7c | 166.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd240…562cbacked Yes | 13c | 140$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…63b9backed Yes | 14c | 126.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 22c | 114.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…c22bbacked Yes | 17c | 110.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…42e9backed Yes | 27c | 108.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Yes | 19c | 105.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…0b8fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 78c | 96.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…995cbacked Yes | 22c | 89.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5e…af8dbacked Yes | 16c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 15c | 73.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0508…6035backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ca…6412backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316e…274dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed No | 79c | 18.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be 80 or higher?this page
- Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50-59?No won
- Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60-69?No won
- Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70-79?Yes won
- Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 50?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.