Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham win on 2025-05-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc10c706358aecff70c20a3e98b96fa109f4ef95ff6a3d6d03e9a22383b113197
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 18c | 11,111$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 16c | 8,038$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.04 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 16c | 8,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 5,350$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.48 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 3c | 1,785$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,520$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…c024backed Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 16c | 1,367$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.76 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…7a1dbacked Yes | 17c | 980$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 7c | 968.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 18c | 675$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dae…9574backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 19c | 394$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 17c | 230.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 25cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…1532backed Yes | 8c | 136$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…8ad7backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a6…495dbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed Yes | 17c | 71.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Yes | 16c | 70.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb2…ac7bbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…3b96backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham win on 2025-05-25?this page
- Will Fulham vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.