TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$205,721

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f20…3ce4backed Yes63c40,984$25,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,091.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69cd…e8b3backed No37c35,900$13,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,28320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa733…cd61backed Yes63c35,274$22,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,051.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No37c18,000$6,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,658.7779639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes63c15,909$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,908.8910848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No38c13,208$4,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,966.8413857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No37c11,475$4,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,196.379650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No37c8,052$2,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,958.6221445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No38c5,216$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.3590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed No35c4,508$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.66333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+14.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No37c4,015$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.5215949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No28c3,806$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.0818752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No15c3,256$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.3438645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd12d…d764backed Yes72c3,142$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3836…563fbacked Yes61c2,975$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…0451backed No39c2,974$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked No37c2,531$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.644146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x736f…d0c5backed Yes62c2,226$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.812462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7adc…9856backed Yes66c2,091$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes61c1,687$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.0932736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes65c1,496$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.546440.6%26 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No13c1,485$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0720744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No40c1,394$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.7432158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No38c1,360$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.6883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes65c1,235$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.259148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee6…6887backed Yes65c1,219$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.61666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes61c1,132$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.84843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No36c1,053$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.0737054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No39c992.92$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.2422050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes63c882.33$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.4630851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes62c856.81$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.816939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4534643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes65c770$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes62c701$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.4815037.3%56 W · 94 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No37c648$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7642048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x263c…04cdbacked Yes62c647.13$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.135259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed No40c635.47$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.796051.7%31 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf62c…1659backed Yes63c626$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4ca…f4c7backed Yes62c584.65$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd483…756dbacked Yes65c572.83$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.491546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Yes62c536.87$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.016435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Yes66c511.76$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19544939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18027752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No37c448.55$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.216851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No36c429.38$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5813829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes62c395.16$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1639561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b48…51d0backed No39c388$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.323951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a1…f973backed Yes65c384.48$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf8e…97adbacked Yes63c360$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5811855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No37c314.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5449254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+37%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Yes62c279.03$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.03560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd073…b757backed Yes65c265.34$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.75560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd79c…a0e7backed Yes61c250.82$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.823647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.525648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Yes60c246.95$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.78333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ee…5a82backed No40c234.52$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No42c233$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0217958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No40c221$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9352060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5be…7286backed Yes61c190$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb65d…3757backed No40c190$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf094…6fd5backed Yes64c184.38$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Yes61c183.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.757659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Yes60c180$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7211252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82c1…0217backed Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.932657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9311047.3%52 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2923350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2911052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf697…a0dbbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked No38c158.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.778334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38b5…dd2dbacked Yes63c149.53$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78c2…8316backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.064854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes64c140.63$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6332737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No39c137.6$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8968942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc64d…f868backed No40c136.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.16520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43a9…fd2abacked No39c134.41$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bb5…539cbacked Yes61c128.69$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70e4…19c1backed No39c123.15$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd500…d94abacked No40c120.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ba…6ac8backed No40c116.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Yes62c116.48$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.262240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3803…0a69backed No40c116.03$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No38c114.79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9981559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1680…3ac0backed Yes62c112.9$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd56…6b02backed No40c112.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0240%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e84…7040backed Yes62c104.61$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.75977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+77.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f3d…eb93backed Yes61c101.48$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.481070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+170.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb393…f733backed Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x866d…4d7dbacked No41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414318.6%8 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed No35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c14…0ea1backed Yes62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.77650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc0…7afebacked No40c96.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb189…f608backed No40c95.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9673…42bcbacked Yes61c88.03$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.33580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.