Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dcfeeeecc95b81ad350cf53610fd3263035ba4dd54e23a01ea95dc697e9aba3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $342,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $340,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f5f…9069backed No | 68c | 55,964$38,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,908.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…8a4fbacked Yes | 32c | 55,964$17,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,908.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…8240backed Yes | 34c | 54,312$18,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,466.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d139backed No | 66c | 54,312$35,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,466.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…555fbacked No | 61c | 35,007$21,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,652.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…ff49backed Yes | 39c | 35,007$13,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,652.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 46c | 7,927$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,609.89 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 61c | 6,302$3,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.11 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…070ebacked Yes | 38c | 3,936$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 37c | 3,733$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.79 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 37c | 3,399$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.02 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked Yes | 5c | 2,241$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 61c | 2,053$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.08 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb381…98f8backed Yes | 32c | 2,000$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…878abacked Yes | 35c | 1,875$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…d3d6backed Yes | 36c | 1,500$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5896…37b1backed Yes | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8e…7f09backed Yes | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96f…86d8backed Yes | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 34c | 1,234$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.99 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +159%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…a73abacked No | 55c | 1,050$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8121…069bbacked No | 55c | 1,050$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2a…832fbacked No | 55c | 1,050$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +217%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 52c | 500$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.27 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 53c | 467.28$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.89 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Yes | 39c | 443.09$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.81 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 47c | 430.44$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 412.93$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.06 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 67c | 400.92$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcee…bda5backed Yes | 43c | 363.84$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.45 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a3…67e3backed Yes | 40c | 307.67$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98ee…def0backed No | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…cd54backed Yes | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed No | 59c | 201.47$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 34c | 176.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked Yes | 30c | 176.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 56c | 166.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 35c | 147.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Yes | 34c | 147$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…56d0backed Yes | 43c | 136.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 132$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…5e6abacked Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…b63dbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d1…0e74backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…136bbacked No | 57c | 97.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 56c | 94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 36c | 90.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Yes | 45c | 85.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 41c | 84.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 90 | 24.4%22 W · 68 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…038bbacked Yes | 33c | 73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 42c | 65.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 41c | 64.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 61c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…522dbacked No | 57c | 60.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a4…3956backed Yes | 46c | 57.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…c586backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d7…31bfbacked Yes | 39c | 46.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…53edbacked Yes | 39c | 44.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…12c3backed No | 58c | 43.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552c…e786backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec5…4976backed No | 62c | 39.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b7…c5babacked Yes | 38c | 39.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c7…ce35backed No | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…64b4backed No | 63c | 36.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…c0cabacked No | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe181…c27cbacked Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1524…dc7abacked No | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…72f2backed Yes | 38c | 32.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed No | 61c | 32.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…4049backed Yes | 46c | 31.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 69c | 30.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…87cfbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…19c4backed Yes | 38c | 29.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x619c…8971backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24c…e9fabacked Yes | 60c | 24.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…8942backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd55…c799backed No | 59c | 17.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…1c1cbacked No | 59c | 17.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7d…3cb6backed No | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac9…e355backed No | 70c | 15.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in May?this page
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in May?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in May?Yes won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in May?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.