CS2 · resolved market
CS2: BLAST.tv Austin Major: HEROIC vs. FlyQuest
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36ad7608bb16463408f5f715e2157ae223425164448354fc1b02a3b1ad5528ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HEROICof HEROIC, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x480d…f219backed HEROIC | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked FlyQuest | 6c | 708.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked FlyQuest | 23c | 692.47$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 261 | 43.3%113 W · 148 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed FlyQuest | 14c | 686.51$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 650 | 52.6%342 W · 308 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…8474backed FlyQuest | 11c | 639.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed FlyQuest | 12c | 636$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 761 | 50.7%386 W · 375 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed FlyQuest | 35c | 560.67$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.23 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked HEROIC | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed FlyQuest | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5598…0f47backed FlyQuest | 20c | 306$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ee…cf2cbacked FlyQuest | 16c | 276.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2d…6ae3backed FlyQuest | 10c | 262.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed FlyQuest | 8c | 259$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FlyQuest | 17c | 217.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 1,149 | 49.4%568 W · 581 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked HEROIC | 78c | 195$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked HEROIC | 72c | 139.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed FlyQuest | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c0…c87cbacked FlyQuest | 25c | 92.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…8d7dbacked FlyQuest | 40c | 45.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed FlyQuest | 45c | 30.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de3…069ebacked HEROIC | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.