TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will River Plate beat Monterrey?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,214 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes45c18,000$8,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,15023942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No53c13,938$7,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,507.5917852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed No58c5,700$3,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4012055%11 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80028543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No52c3,306$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.3418758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No52c2,832$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.0617853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x249f…5981backed Yes46c2,413$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1012339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes49c2,040$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006030%18 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed No54c1,877$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.14062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7207548%36 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No50c1,468$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.5730754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No53c1,396$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.2844955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No54c1,388$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.2919453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Yes46c1,388$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.292020%4 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f05…9cfbbacked Yes48c1,319$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes51c1,248$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64026443.9%116 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed No51c872.17$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.173231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes50c800$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40221938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No52c587.53$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.7713538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No53c521.91$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.5946956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked No57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2155764.9%37 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4bb…c96bbacked Yes48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68bb…812cbacked Yes48c413.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf969…7ce8backed Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18434449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012330.1%37 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes52c387.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No55c364.65$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.5517658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf9d…a540backed No52c299.4$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.584647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No53c277.68$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3938356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Yes31c254.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.124040%16 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No51c222.31$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.336851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes46c222$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4138935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x975e…0fe6backed Yes48c216.6$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.97650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe90…380dbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yes49c204.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.442445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35fd…582dbacked No52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes49c186.9$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.178633.7%29 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No54c160.5$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.638652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes46c145.65$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676331.7%20 W · 43 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x54d7…c74dbacked Yes45c135.89$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.153231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff92…f22cbacked Yes48c131.94$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.334961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2515…a008backed Yes50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603745.9%17 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03b0…9eedbacked Yes48c112.32$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3282…7716backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No49c103$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5322547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b8…9cafbacked Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.591457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518240.2%33 W · 49 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9212…f1f8backed Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Yes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473650%18 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x442a…7c94backed No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465437%20 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc84c…4b4dbacked Yes45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Yes47c92.26$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.367950.6%40 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Yes51c84.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.344242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+403.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3500…915bbacked Yes48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Yes46c76.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No53c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5128357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed Yes51c73.46$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.262065%13 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2623…23f1backed Yes51c68.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…587bbacked No56c66.36$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.946376.2%48 W · 15 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e21…4d75backed Yes47c65.87$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.143250%16 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff26…c896backed Yes49c65.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2640%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0d6…52bfbacked Yes48c64.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No51c61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8924047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes48c50.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.212854.7%70 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511645.7%53 W · 63 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515966.7%106 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a12…d25dbacked No51c47.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbccf…929bbacked Yes48c44.83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.31666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf778…05b2backed Yes45c43.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206229%18 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61c0…21febacked No57c43.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.882128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa51c…7ddebacked Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5598…0f47backed Yes49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-79.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204619.6%9 W · 37 L-7.7wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-57%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6a8e…c096backed Yes48c39.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.133548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked No50c39.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.675829.3%17 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked No54c36.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.711429.8%34 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed No60c33.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.382951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522847.8%109 W · 119 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe534…bfafbacked No52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.169952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde74…e866backed Yes51c27.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.843033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes48c27.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134850%24 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x636d…80d2backed Yes50c26.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e86…1f02backed No77c19.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.471070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+48.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.