Champions League · resolved market
Will Monterrey beat River Plate?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61ca4263babeb22cc9475a791ab696cccaf9054b4b4ccea41b7b4b6094ec11ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3e5…2a3ebacked No | 76c | 10,019$7,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.67 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 25c | 7,724$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.29 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 24c | 2,145$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.23 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 75c | 717$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.25 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Yes | 24c | 604.16$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 78c | 431.8$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 76c | 297.31$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 74c | 293.05$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 21c | 277$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 25c | 269$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked Yes | 25c | 204.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 24c | 195.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 73c | 184$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 25c | 156.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…893abacked Yes | 25c | 153.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 74c | 147.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 23c | 142$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…9eedbacked Yes | 10c | 122$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e50…948abacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Yes | 28c | 119$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x957b…a58dbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 83.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Yes | 26c | 77.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…6e58backed Yes | 26c | 70.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 75c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 33.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…a823backed No | 78c | 14.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Monterrey beat River Plate?this page
- Will River Plate beat Monterrey?No won
- Will River Plate vs. Monterrey end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.