Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: LGD Gaming vs. LNG Esports
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81d3040ebdf55d4160b03175ae74935a520ef534c39a905f54ca829897a9228e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, LNG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 23,906$11,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,390.14 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked LNG Esports | 52c | 14,383$7,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,436.72 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed LNG Esports | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 6,672$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,436.92 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed LNG Esports | 52c | 4,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed LNG Esports | 52c | 2,503$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.79 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed LNG Esports | 54c | 2,402$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.38 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 2,258$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.02 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed LGD Gaming | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed LNG Esports | 52c | 1,473$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.44 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked LNG Esports | 54c | 1,468$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.66 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked LNG Esports | 52c | 1,207$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.48 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LNG Esports | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked LGD Gaming | 44c | 1,187$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.83 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked LNG Esports | 73c | 1,031$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.3 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed LNG Esports | 52c | 861.54$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed LGD Gaming | 44c | 828$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.68 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked LGD Gaming | 47c | 754.53$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.9 | 131 | 64.9%85 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed LGD Gaming | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed LGD Gaming | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked LNG Esports | 51c | 400$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked LGD Gaming | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed LNG Esports | 52c | 295.19$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed LGD Gaming | 42c | 294$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.83 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed LNG Esports | 64c | 275.16$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.28 | 259 | 52.9%137 W · 122 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked LGD Gaming | 49c | 267.63$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.63 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed LNG Esports | 54c | 186.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed LNG Esports | 74c | 136.49$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked LGD Gaming | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked LNG Esports | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked LGD Gaming | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed LGD Gaming | 21c | 75.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc356…62cfbacked LGD Gaming | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0d…59d0backed LGD Gaming | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked LNG Esports | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed LGD Gaming | 46c | 31.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…8d1bbacked LNG Esports | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed LNG Esports | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2e…3bc1backed LNG Esports | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.