MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x740c55e215bd086f23a7cc6fa225b0c0a551196df8131851e2d319c49f9f5a35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Pirates, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pirates | 50c | 47,810$23,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,904.98 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers | 50c | 37,974$18,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,987 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…16a3backed Pirates | 21c | 14,576$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Brewers | 72c | 10,669$7,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015.18 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Brewers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Brewers | 74c | 7,943$5,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.01 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 49c | 5,475$2,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.79 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Brewers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…49a5backed Brewers | 52c | 4,791$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Pirates | 53c | 4,531$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates | 15c | 4,025$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.45 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Brewers | 50c | 3,721$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.58 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Pirates | 49c | 3,340$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.52 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Pirates | 50c | 3,285$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Pirates | 51c | 3,228$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.51 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 9c | 3,219$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.93 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Brewers | 50c | 2,762$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.88 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Brewers | 51c | 2,057$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.73 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers | 46c | 2,020$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.5 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…5581backed Pirates | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…9d9ebacked Pirates | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…3431backed Pirates | 49c | 1,998$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Brewers | 49c | 1,950$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.45 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Pirates | 2c | 1,728$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Pirates | 58c | 1,680$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.4 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…aa45backed Pirates | 1c | 1,674$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Brewers | 67c | 1,584$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.46 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Pirates | 22c | 1,394$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 49c | 1,389$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.42 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Pirates | 49c | 1,110$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Pirates | 5c | 1,079$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc089…3a18backed Pirates | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pirates | 7c | 1,019$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates | 49c | 1,010$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3374…99ddbacked Brewers | 51c | 1,006$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Pirates | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0744…6b29backed Brewers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brewers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked Brewers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9741…7956backed Brewers | 51c | 997.99$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeeb…e314backed Brewers | 51c | 994$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8591…9abebacked Pirates | 49c | 980$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Brewers | 50c | 925.84$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.92 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Pirates | 49c | 924$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.22 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Pirates | 2c | 908.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pirates | 2c | 727$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Pirates | 50c | 671.06$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.82 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Pirates | 8c | 667.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pirates | 4c | 653$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pirates | 3c | 650$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Brewers | 52c | 636.54$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.54 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 11c | 557.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pirates | 50c | 552.44$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.15 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Pirates | 53c | 538.56$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Brewers | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Pirates | 51c | 509.02$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Brewers | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Pirates | 26c | 500$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Pirates | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Brewers | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Pirates | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Pirates | 31c | 477.84$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.66 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates | 6c | 453.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Pirates | 50c | 407$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.43 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785a…bdb6backed Pirates | 5c | 404.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 59c | 403.48$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.28 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Brewers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Brewers | 50c | 399.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.9 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Brewers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Pirates | 50c | 360.5$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.25 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Pirates | 56c | 357.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Pirates | 38c | 351.37$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Pirates | 50c | 311.74$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.87 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Brewers | 48c | 305.8$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.02 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6b…8343backed Brewers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Brewers | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Brewers | 68c | 299$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.83 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…8e31backed Pirates | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Pirates | 14c | 252.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Pirates | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb4…411ebacked Pirates | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pirates | 42c | 247.62$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 54c | 216.28$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.38 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Brewers | 49c | 212.07$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked Pirates | 13c | 200.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Pirates | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Brewers | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Brewers | 51c | 199.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…487dbacked Brewers | 50c | 194.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Pirates | 48c | 170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Pirates | 51c | 157$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Brewers | 51c | 157$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…f8b8backed Pirates | 52c | 148.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Brewers | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Brewers | 49c | 128.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.