MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa95767cfacfee67727d6360eebd0e733aee9f26b509c840f9df783f49f13fdc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,328,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,349,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,328,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02d5…88c7backed Blue Jays | 48c | 969,362$467,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502,294.38 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 52c | 608,274$316,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316,302.23 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 52c | 189,823$98,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,720.66 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Orioles | 48c | 89,460$42,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,577.78 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Blue Jays | 49c | 62,917$30,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,016.67 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Orioles | 71c | 53,270$37,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,657.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Orioles | 51c | 37,810$19,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,121.63 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Orioles | 52c | 30,000$15,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,500 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Blue Jays | 48c | 28,371$13,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,752.99 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Orioles | 52c | 15,900$8,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,277 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Orioles | 52c | 13,651$7,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,098.57 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 51c | 13,024$6,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,641.02 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Orioles | 52c | 12,517$6,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,458.78 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Blue Jays | 20c | 12,268$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,762.67 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 28c | 11,455$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,261.52 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 51c | 11,292$5,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,755.23 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Blue Jays | 28c | 10,183$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,292.02 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Blue Jays | 74c | 7,074$5,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.28 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Orioles | 51c | 6,870$3,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,534.38 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 52c | 6,630$3,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431.3 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…ce83backed Blue Jays | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Orioles | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Blue Jays | 50c | 4,461$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.78 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Blue Jays | 32c | 4,166$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.11 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…ad12backed Orioles | 50c | 4,001$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Orioles | 52c | 4,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca6…ca05backed Blue Jays | 50c | 3,988$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Blue Jays | 52c | 3,840$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.04 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Orioles | 67c | 3,424$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.17 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Blue Jays | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…2e68backed Orioles | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…372ebacked Orioles | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Orioles | 78c | 2,815$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.49 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Orioles | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Orioles | 52c | 2,500$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.23 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Orioles | 53c | 2,301$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.47 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…5532backed Orioles | 69c | 2,237$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Orioles | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Orioles | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Blue Jays | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Blue Jays | 39c | 1,967$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.57 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Blue Jays | 22c | 1,938$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +298.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Blue Jays | 42c | 1,772$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.1 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Orioles | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 52c | 1,689$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.44 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 1,615$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.98 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Blue Jays | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Orioles | 49c | 1,516$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.93 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blue Jays | 47c | 1,451$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.05 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Blue Jays | 47c | 1,161$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.35 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 52c | 1,141$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.29 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Blue Jays | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Blue Jays | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.47 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Orioles | 24c | 1,026$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Orioles | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Orioles | 52c | 962$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.24 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Blue Jays | 49c | 954.53$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.81 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Blue Jays | 20c | 951.25$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.83 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 25c | 889$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.97 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 797.89$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.87 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Orioles | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…7f9fbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 734$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Orioles | 51c | 710$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.1 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Blue Jays | 49c | 680.27$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.94 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Orioles | 13c | 668$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 24c | 573$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.88 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Orioles | 32c | 521.87$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.13 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Blue Jays | 40c | 513.76$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.93 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x527c…5f6cbacked Blue Jays | 77c | 510$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Orioles | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Orioles | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Orioles | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Orioles | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.88 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Blue Jays | 47c | 497.97$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Orioles | 52c | 478$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.56 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Orioles | 53c | 473.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x208f…1050backed Blue Jays | 44c | 452.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays | 39c | 450$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.5 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Blue Jays | 55c | 442$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.93 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Orioles | 52c | 430.83$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.03 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Blue Jays | 73c | 430$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.58 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Blue Jays | 46c | 413.62$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.14 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 41c | 404.9$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Orioles | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Blue Jays | 72c | 376$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Blue Jays | 47c | 349.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Blue Jays | 72c | 347$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Orioles | 54c | 327.74$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.98 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Blue Jays | 73c | 327.56$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Blue Jays | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked Orioles | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Orioles | 51c | 292.96$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.41 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Orioles | 73c | 277.44$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Orioles | 53c | 268$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.04 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Blue Jays | 36c | 267.94$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.83 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…1e08backed Orioles | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1224…4690backed Orioles | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.