MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1f0cae02930cf252980c63f53346493ab3fb5c3fd043ac1910cef71e1cfcad4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $466,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $480,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Marlins | 38c | 293,782$111,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182,384.12 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 77,441$48,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,013.52 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 51,813$31,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,906.41 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 29,726$18,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,430.41 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 27,374$17,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,004.23 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,400 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 18,949$11,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,748.52 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 15,784$9,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,940.83 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 14,574$9,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,097.15 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 13,233$6,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,656.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Diamondbacks | 66c | 12,820$8,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,411.65 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Marlins | 34c | 12,471$4,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,275.49 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 71c | 8,831$6,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,243.66 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 8,665$5,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,372.3 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Diamondbacks | 78c | 8,288$6,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,464.28 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 69c | 7,106$4,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,925.58 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Marlins | 32c | 6,606$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,486.06 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 63c | 6,161$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,884.73 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Diamondbacks | 12c | 3,874$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.35 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Marlins | 34c | 3,227$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.78 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Marlins | 36c | 2,943$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.76 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 2,737$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.61 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Diamondbacks | 72c | 2,443$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.2 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…08e5backed Marlins | 33c | 2,437$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.22 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 2,100$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Diamondbacks | 10c | 2,006$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.01 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Marlins | 53c | 1,896$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.23 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Diamondbacks | 64c | 1,712$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.68 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Marlins | 36c | 1,526$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.39 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Marlins | 42c | 1,278$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.97 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Marlins | 48c | 1,242$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.78 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Marlins | 50c | 1,239$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Marlins | 32c | 1,188$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.21 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Diamondbacks | 1c | 1,150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Marlins | 35c | 1,150$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9850…4708backed Marlins | 29c | 1,079$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 1,038$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.9 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 1,029$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Diamondbacks | 71c | 991.32$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…10c2backed Marlins | 38c | 974.33$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.34 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Marlins | 20c | 950$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 941.02$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.87 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Diamondbacks | 3c | 893$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Diamondbacks | 3c | 886.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Marlins | 42c | 850.42$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.42 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 42c | 801.43$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.83 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Marlins | 26c | 723.19$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.19 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Marlins | 37c | 721.05$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.05 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Diamondbacks | 2c | 718.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 708$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.96 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Marlins | 26c | 704.02$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.33 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…437cbacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 638.45$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed Marlins | 45c | 554.35$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.35 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 36c | 545.77$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.2 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Diamondbacks | 3c | 540.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Diamondbacks | 11c | 512.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks | 63c | 495.68$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.28 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 460.4$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.03 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 458.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 420.61$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.78 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Marlins | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Diamondbacks | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 35c | 351$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.15 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Marlins | 76c | 318.89$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…ca4abacked Diamondbacks | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Marlins | 45c | 314.14$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.31 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 12c | 309.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 302.71$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.49 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Diamondbacks | 66c | 302.46$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.65 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Marlins | 45c | 300$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Marlins | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Marlins | 36c | 282.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.26 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks | 67c | 281$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.25 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Marlins | 37c | 272.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.7 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Marlins | 37c | 272.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.62 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 266.75$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Marlins | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Marlins | 33c | 242.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.46 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe110…453cbacked Diamondbacks | 6c | 221.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Marlins | 49c | 215.43$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.67 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5307…7abbbacked Diamondbacks | 80c | 211.25$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…21d0backed Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Diamondbacks | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Marlins | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Diamondbacks | 78c | 173.03$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.54 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Diamondbacks | 79c | 172.6$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.54 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed Diamondbacks | 79c | 172.6$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.54 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Marlins | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Diamondbacks | 13c | 161.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 159.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.87 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Marlins | 63c | 157.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 8c | 155.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fc…d45ebacked Marlins | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…4ebdbacked Marlins | 38c | 148$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 38c | 145.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.