MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7299e34bc98139ca7472ba4d9981ec0a3178aa6d25c8c146813a07cee1004e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Dodgers, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,150,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,181,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,150,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Dodgers | 52c | 870,025$451,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451,573.24 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Red Sox | 48c | 295,574$142,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,362.49 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 48c | 258,121$124,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,584.24 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Red Sox | 48c | 124,462$59,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,720.47 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Red Sox | 48c | 73,196$35,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,806.43 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 48c | 54,120$26,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,951.68 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Red Sox | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,800 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Red Sox | 49c | 25,353$12,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,916.85 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Dodgers | 51c | 24,748$12,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,621.53 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 47c | 21,366$10,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,301.68 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Red Sox | 48c | 20,500$9,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,660 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Dodgers | 35c | 20,254$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Dodgers | 51c | 18,867$9,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,533.66 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Red Sox | 48c | 15,341$7,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,977.27 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Dodgers | 73c | 11,502$8,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,383.38 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Red Sox | 55c | 10,492$5,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,766.83 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Dodgers | 53c | 9,369$4,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,933.73 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox | 48c | 8,300$3,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,316 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Sox | 49c | 7,321$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,733.65 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 48c | 6,956$3,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,643 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067d…9f81backed Red Sox | 50c | 6,870$3,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…4e9abacked Dodgers | 62c | 6,030$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Dodgers | 53c | 5,698$3,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,033.9 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 54c | 5,206$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Red Sox | 57c | 4,388$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.72 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox | 46c | 4,063$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.79 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Dodgers | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox | 47c | 3,642$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.78 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Red Sox | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.83 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Red Sox | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Red Sox | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Dodgers | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1,156.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Red Sox | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Red Sox | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Red Sox | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Red Sox | 51c | 2,861$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.37 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Red Sox | 48c | 2,851$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.76 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Red Sox | 48c | 2,600$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Dodgers | 56c | 2,345$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.2 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Red Sox | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…5dedbacked Dodgers | 51c | 1,962$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Red Sox | 35c | 1,791$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.06 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Red Sox | 48c | 1,745$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.15 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers | 53c | 1,737$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.49 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Red Sox | 49c | 1,635$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…ba10backed Dodgers | 14c | 1,629$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.07 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Red Sox | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Dodgers | 52c | 1,491$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.07 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Red Sox | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Red Sox | 65c | 1,158$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Red Sox | 47c | 1,155$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.4 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Dodgers | 70c | 1,136$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Dodgers | 54c | 1,058$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.47 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Dodgers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Dodgers | 51c | 909.8$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.91 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Red Sox | 37c | 862.92$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.88 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Red Sox | 61c | 822.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.95 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Red Sox | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Red Sox | 44c | 799.99$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Dodgers | 44c | 728.43$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.92 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d79…9c76backed Dodgers | 55c | 722.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x774f…ea29backed Dodgers | 35c | 652.78$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Red Sox | 48c | 622$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.42 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers | 37c | 560$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.2 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Dodgers | 51c | 546$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.46 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Dodgers | 46c | 515.01$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Red Sox | 44c | 499.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Dodgers | 31c | 483.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Red Sox | 63c | 456.81$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.98 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Dodgers | 55c | 450.98$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.04 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Dodgers | 23c | 443.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Sox | 48c | 442.31$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Red Sox | 46c | 431.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.68 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eac…e064backed Red Sox | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…aaadbacked Dodgers | 44c | 421.32$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.89 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Red Sox | 43c | 419.03$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.81 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Red Sox | 53c | 418.87$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.87 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Dodgers | 51c | 409$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.59 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Red Sox | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Dodgers | 76c | 400$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked Red Sox | 65c | 399.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Red Sox | 61c | 391.81$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.22 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Red Sox | 59c | 391.32$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.03 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Dodgers | 41c | 389.88$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.75 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers | 36c | 384.75$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Sox | 48c | 384.23$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 68c | 380$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.11 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Dodgers | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Red Sox | 77c | 344.16$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Dodgers | 24c | 340.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Dodgers | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox | 46c | 299.55$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.01 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Red Sox | 63c | 294.13$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Dodgers | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Dodgers | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Dodgers | 20c | 262.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Red Sox | 63c | 261.25$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Red Sox | 64c | 261.23$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.18 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Dodgers | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.