TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

IEM Cologne: Falcons vs. FURIA

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof Falcons, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,681

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,297 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee03…3eeabacked FURIA32c31,469$10,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,442.816264.5%40 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Falcons68c26,412$17,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,960.2216357.1%93 W · 70 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed FURIA29c9,316$2,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,574.1628248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52ad…337dbacked Falcons70c9,258$6,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,480.582133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Falcons70c7,404$5,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,190.685048%24 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0286…f61dbacked Falcons76c5,547$4,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,241.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed FURIA40c4,113$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e9…831abacked FURIA30c3,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.13336.4%12 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfeec…aa69backed FURIA30c3,046$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.586842.6%29 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked FURIA27c3,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.983215.6%5 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-57%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Falcons59c2,569$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.7510348.5%50 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Falcons71c2,403$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.2145848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd92f…8169backed FURIA42c2,402$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.933036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed FURIA43c2,328$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.5317249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed FURIA31c2,118$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.7656738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed FURIA40c1,855$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.9413532.6%44 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed FURIA30c1,739$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.4718650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked FURIA37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.252065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed FURIA25c1,397$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.4820440.7%83 W · 121 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Falcons67c1,336$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.379552.6%50 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Falcons63c1,325$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.6952456.3%295 W · 229 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f7…58dbbacked FURIA31c1,250$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a05…5c62backed Falcons70c1,123$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.84639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…61bcbacked FURIA36c1,059$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.5714239.4%56 W · 86 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Falcons70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae0e…6527backed FURIA21c1,000$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA36c999.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.991,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Falcons70c950.5$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.6944648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f78…68a4backed Falcons16c949.98$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.43854.7%4 W · 81 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick15cpaid-84.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Falcons70c867.43$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.221846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Falcons63c850$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.575450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed FURIA19c800$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64546340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc70e…7cd6backed FURIA10c800$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7204242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce3…eda0backed Falcons71c704.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008645.3%39 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x087b…0de7backed FURIA30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.672343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a9a…8022backed FURIA30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.67742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Falcons69c609.38$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.38837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Falcons70c600$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4171,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Falcons71c582.96$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.7585446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66a…9157backed FURIA25c564.72$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.7210238.2%39 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x088c…3f3ebacked FURIA26c557.72$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.841464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Falcons68c523.26$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.1614332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Falcons69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34519155.5%106 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed FURIA20c493.03$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.7718041.7%75 W · 105 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Falcons71c466.21$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.0112145.5%55 W · 66 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed FURIA15c453.07$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.8613223.5%31 W · 101 L-10.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed FURIA23c438.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.373253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Falcons74c405.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013043.1%56 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a3…db6ebacked FURIA59c400$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.713633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Falcons71c395.04$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28016050%80 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Falcons72c350.07$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.428852.3%46 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7703…34b9backed Falcons74c350$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2582544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2063…1eedbacked Falcons78c335.66$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.337659.2%45 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaf…e782backed FURIA31c335.48$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0c…3daabacked Falcons73c329$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa21d…a769backed Falcons73c320.91$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Falcons71c290$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.911949.6%59 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked FURIA37c284.13$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.0213235.6%47 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed Falcons71c280$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.86248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Falcons52c260$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4558961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Falcons50c250.04$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked FURIA48c232.11$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.728956.2%50 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed Falcons62c210$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.263345.2%286 W · 347 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed FURIA28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1444932.7%16 W · 33 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Falcons70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14014540.7%59 W · 86 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e9a…d9d7backed FURIA32c200$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…cd12backed Falcons66c200$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1334250%21 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed FURIA14c199.58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.8712131.4%38 W · 83 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed FURIA17c188.9$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.881,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebce…f37bbacked FURIA29c183.05$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.861361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df5…b34abacked Falcons71c181.63$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.962544%11 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed FURIA30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.674748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23c6…21bfbacked FURIA27c162.96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.96757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Falcons71c153.51$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9960953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed FURIA11c150.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.926657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+29.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed FURIA30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10522242.8%95 W · 127 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe513…7eebbacked Falcons62c148.69$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.931127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-58.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Falcons71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005461.1%33 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f47…120dbacked Falcons63c130$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.96744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA35c105$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.651,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Falcons73c103.01$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2733456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x175b…93aebacked FURIA30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7014142.6%60 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed Falcons70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023351.5%120 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed FURIA27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7336751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed FURIA30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7023454.7%128 W · 106 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Falcons65c93.62$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8126351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked FURIA47c90$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5530748.9%150 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f39…27a5backed Falcons68c89.55$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.972240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Falcons71c89.08$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2526563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed FURIA30c85.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1631735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed Falcons78c85.15$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6624554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed FURIA19c85$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6922556%126 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89a8…c206backed FURIA27c80$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.49860.2%59 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aed…e4f4backed Falcons71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb3f…d2e2backed FURIA53c67.9$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.991553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38b8…5d35backed FURIA26c58.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3336437.4%136 W · 228 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5191…f96bbacked Falcons70c52.49$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ccd…6bacbacked Falcons71c52.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked FURIA29c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.582146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c65…9a3dbacked Falcons77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.57636.8%28 W · 48 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.