Tennis · resolved market
ATP Washington D.C – De Minaur vs. Lehecka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x103b6b081d5d7032fe89547571eced3770eced4628082a9546129938238a3f54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- De Minaurof De Minaur, Lehecka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Lehecka | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked De Minaur | 68c | 4,118$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.65 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked De Minaur | 66c | 4,000$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.11 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…60abbacked Lehecka | 37c | 2,802$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.91 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Lehecka | 32c | 2,482$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.06 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Lehecka | 33c | 1,886$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.62 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Lehecka | 17c | 1,337$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.32 | 961 | 35.4%340 W · 621 L | -40.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ac69backed De Minaur | 65c | 1,198$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.83 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed De Minaur | 64c | 1,139$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed De Minaur | 65c | 853.52$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.73 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Lehecka | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Lehecka | 30c | 690.44$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.91 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lehecka | 34c | 599.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Lehecka | 24c | 579.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.03 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Lehecka | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed De Minaur | 76c | 461$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked De Minaur | 65c | 350$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Lehecka | 23c | 315$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked De Minaur | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Lehecka | 37c | 280$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed De Minaur | 67c | 257.9$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 315 | 55.6%175 W · 140 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lehecka | 39c | 257$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lehecka | 39c | 256$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed De Minaur | 79c | 174.73$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Lehecka | 33c | 167.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 582 | 40%233 W · 349 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked De Minaur | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Lehecka | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed De Minaur | 66c | 133.31$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed De Minaur | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Lehecka | 42c | 108.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed De Minaur | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Lehecka | 13c | 96.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed De Minaur | 65c | 83.06$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…f30dbacked De Minaur | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Lehecka | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Lehecka | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Lehecka | 38c | 41.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed De Minaur | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2,348 | 46.5%1,092 W · 1,256 L | +54.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed De Minaur | 65c | 18.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f07…7512backed De Minaur | 67c | 16.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.