Tennis · resolved market
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6db5bd8ca3ce79b65c1925ebde9bacb4dfe55827dba467dea45c82820fd3de9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $276,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Yes | 69c | 70,386$48,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,156.64 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…648ebacked No | 49c | 41,354$20,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,280.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 43c | 40,904$17,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,295.01 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Yes | 68c | 8,052$5,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.62 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed No | 32c | 8,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 70c | 3,677$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.13 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 62c | 2,960$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.18 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 70c | 1,389$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.11 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 65c | 1,342$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.21 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…12e6backed No | 51c | 840$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 56c | 704.99$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.8 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 51c | 701.2$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.83 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 46c | 665$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.1 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Yes | 56c | 563.79$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.79 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…9a74backed No | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 44c | 477.72$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.52 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 49c | 403.41$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…0ab9backed Yes | 65c | 376.29$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Yes | 35c | 350$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked No | 51c | 295.77$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked No | 34c | 291.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes | 65c | 261.69$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…4050backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 57c | 207$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.89 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…3af7backed Yes | 68c | 183.84$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 172.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…aff4backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…725ebacked Yes | 37c | 110$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…e209backed Yes | 70c | 95.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Yes | 39c | 86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a3…7cbfbacked Yes | 69c | 82.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked Yes | 37c | 74.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 61c | 71.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 62c | 68.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69cd…06f3backed Yes | 68c | 60.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yes | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Yes | 68c | 38.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 102 | 66.7%68 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fd…b264backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…136bbacked No | 49c | 26.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed Yes | 69c | 18.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…1713backed Yes | 68c | 17.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d4…f1e4backed Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alex De Minaur win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?this page
- Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?No won
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.