Tennis · resolved market
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x402727a58c0a0b50031d938aa9596109a94293ef91c8371db16ee68ca15bd1d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Yes | 76c | 30,304$23,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,090.4 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…648ebacked No | 53c | 26,485$13,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,530.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 41c | 14,488$5,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,979.11 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 60c | 9,000$5,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,442.6 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 34c | 3,777$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.59 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,555$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.87 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 44c | 1,433$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.95 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Yes | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,019$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.8 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…12e6backed No | 48c | 840$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 66c | 804$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.63 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Yes | 39c | 428.26$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Yes | 35c | 398$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa403…9cabbacked No | 54c | 392.05$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 29c | 384.89$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…3af7backed Yes | 39c | 357.25$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 51c | 309.19$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.79 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 34c | 204.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 34c | 202.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Yes | 33c | 181.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Yes | 36c | 128.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9019…42e0backed No | 67c | 127.61$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…408cbacked Yes | 34c | 117.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…1713backed Yes | 45c | 105.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 34c | 99.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e25…7a93backed No | 55c | 67.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c24…0f25backed Yes | 36c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab3…2fb6backed Yes | 67c | 51.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 34c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…136bbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e9…bddabacked Yes | 34c | 29.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98f…6a3fbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?this page
- Will Alex De Minaur win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?Yes won
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?No won
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.