MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c0eae3aa757909c47a9205a37a7777d04ea85d868fd1d34cd499392cb54a528
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Orioles, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $725,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $741,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $725,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Orioles | 36c | 495,708$176,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176,967.95 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yankees | 66c | 212,917$140,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,012.2 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees | 64c | 139,930$89,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,072.72 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yankees | 65c | 51,426$33,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,998.97 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 35c | 42,457$14,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,843.1 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 64c | 39,977$25,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,197.34 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Yankees | 67c | 30,705$20,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,161.01 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 51c | 17,287$8,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,486.11 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yankees | 65c | 15,077$9,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,277.74 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Orioles | 53c | 14,517$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,649.92 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yankees | 55c | 12,781$7,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,738.73 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Yankees | 55c | 12,183$6,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,495.89 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yankees | 64c | 11,098$7,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,994.52 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yankees | 65c | 11,006$7,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,852.21 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Orioles | 37c | 9,172$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364.73 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Orioles | 45c | 7,620$3,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445.55 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Yankees | 41c | 5,087$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.77 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Yankees | 48c | 4,561$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.85 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 64c | 4,438$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.99 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Orioles | 36c | 4,401$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.79 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Orioles | 54c | 3,919$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.46 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Orioles | 45c | 3,660$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.66 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Yankees | 52c | 3,035$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.48 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Yankees | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Yankees | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.98 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yankees | 40c | 2,705$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.86 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Orioles | 43c | 2,335$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yankees | 65c | 2,200$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Yankees | 49c | 2,141$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.32 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yankees | 48c | 2,063$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yankees | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Orioles | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Yankees | 50c | 1,994$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.66 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Yankees | 58c | 1,837$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.09 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Yankees | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yankees | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.3 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Orioles | 1c | 1,450$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Orioles | 36c | 1,331$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.32 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Orioles | 35c | 1,125$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.75 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Orioles | 36c | 1,082$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.36 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yankees | 48c | 1,045$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.83 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Orioles | 55c | 1,014$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.17 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Yankees | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yankees | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Orioles | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Yankees | 66c | 980.32$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.31 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees | 64c | 938$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.68 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yankees | 50c | 874.25$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.65 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220d…4031backed Orioles | 51c | 867.8$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Yankees | 52c | 866.75$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.04 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yankees | 48c | 848.04$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.42 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed Yankees | 48c | 841.36$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.37 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yankees | 53c | 785.45$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.31 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Orioles | 35c | 709.97$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.49 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c7…2c25backed Yankees | 58c | 690.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed Yankees | 65c | 688$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.48 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Yankees | 55c | 680.86$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.86 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 46c | 678.4$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.25 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Orioles | 48c | 661.79$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.55 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yankees | 55c | 630.97$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.83 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yankees | 50c | 630.78$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.39 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Orioles | 2c | 558.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Orioles | 75c | 556$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.09 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yankees | 64c | 533.84$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.18 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Yankees | 58c | 511.89$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.16 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd27…8d6bbacked Yankees | 49c | 509.09$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees | 44c | 500.32$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.49 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Yankees | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Orioles | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…27febacked Yankees | 46c | 386$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Orioles | 37c | 380$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked Yankees | 50c | 360$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…4fd2backed Orioles | 49c | 356.4$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.92 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Yankees | 53c | 355.35$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.24 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yankees | 56c | 344.96$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Orioles | 36c | 309.25$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.33 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Yankees | 66c | 304.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Yankees | 30c | 300$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Orioles | 27c | 287.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 36c | 286$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Orioles | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yankees | 65c | 276.92$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Orioles | 36c | 270$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Yankees | 58c | 264.62$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.62 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yankees | 48c | 250.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.89 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Yankees | 51c | 246.49$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Orioles | 56c | 237.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.13 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yankees | 50c | 230.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.22 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 36c | 221.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yankees | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Yankees | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Orioles | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yankees | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Orioles | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Yankees | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yankees | 55c | 192.33$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yankees | 52c | 191$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.06 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Yankees | 51c | 184.35$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.33 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Yankees | 56c | 179.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Orioles | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.