MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0e881167e5e3c15e40f42c828a4bca608a0b66d7d6a4905bd3019c226947281
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Padres, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $425,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $428,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Padres | 46c | 367,890$169,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169,113.83 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Reds | 54c | 120,814$65,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,200.81 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Reds | 52c | 105,202$55,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,984.24 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Reds | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,400 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Reds | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,800 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 54c | 25,446$13,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,705.29 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 54c | 19,004$10,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,741.7 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Reds | 54c | 13,070$7,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,012.2 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Padres | 71c | 6,905$4,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,927.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 55c | 6,098$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.84 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Reds | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Reds | 32c | 4,800$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,242.21 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc985…1e7dbacked Padres | 77c | 4,573$3,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542.25 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 25c | 4,389$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.17 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 42c | 4,134$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.82 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Reds | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Reds | 54c | 3,649$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.5 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x123a…3260backed Padres | 55c | 2,207$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Padres | 76c | 2,013$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.96 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Reds | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Reds | 54c | 1,944$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.24 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Reds | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.99 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Reds | 27c | 1,707$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.52 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e68…5472backed Padres | 77c | 1,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 35c | 1,134$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.69 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Padres | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Reds | 14c | 844.71$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.45 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Padres | 46c | 748$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.08 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Reds | 28c | 717.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.86 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Reds | 35c | 689.69$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.19 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Reds | 52c | 621$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.24 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Reds | 39c | 487.18$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.18 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Padres | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Padres | 4c | 410$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Padres | 72c | 290.79$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Reds | 24c | 254.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.17 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 59c | 244.91$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.17 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Padres | 42c | 238.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Padres | 73c | 232$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.12 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Padres | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x678f…3836backed Padres | 59c | 214.35$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Padres | 45c | 200.48$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked Padres | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Padres | 57c | 197.82$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.16 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Padres | 44c | 181.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Padres | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked Reds | 55c | 151.83$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Padres | 63c | 133.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.94 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…08e5backed Padres | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Padres | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 47c | 115.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 44c | 110.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Reds | 47c | 103.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Reds | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Padres | 48c | 94.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Reds | 36c | 94.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Padres | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 75c | 88.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 29c | 83.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…6479backed Padres | 60c | 81.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…21d0backed Padres | 62c | 81.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Padres | 66c | 78.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Reds | 50c | 65.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Padres | 44c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 60c | 65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…ba3ebacked Reds | 40c | 60.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…c3cbbacked Padres | 59c | 59.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Reds | 54c | 56.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…9e40backed Reds | 36c | 55.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Padres | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,302 | 56.7%738 W · 564 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Reds | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Padres | 45c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8c…b5afbacked Padres | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Padres | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…e70bbacked Padres | 59c | 42.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed Padres | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Reds | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Reds | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…878cbacked Reds | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781a…2fa0backed Padres | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Reds | 46c | 35.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Padres | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9a…bf66backed Padres | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb617…ea50backed Padres | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb02a…b26bbacked Reds | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…d62cbacked Padres | 60c | 24.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed Padres | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…e8d0backed Padres | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…aebebacked Padres | 64c | 16.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…d9efbacked Padres | 76c | 14.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.