CS2 · resolved market
IEM Cologne: GamerLegion vs. Virtus.pro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2649b1fcee4d6b938a2cb56f94ed9e3349ce452a57b00dd4466a89a5c6f35f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked GamerLegion | 45c | 89,573$40,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,265.06 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 73,821$40,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,601.6 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 29,370$11,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,726.66 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed GamerLegion | 57c | 14,052$7,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,071.65 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed GamerLegion | 71c | 4,991$3,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.46 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 3,131$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.25 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 2,574$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.09 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 2,552$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GamerLegion | 71c | 2,547$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.1 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 2,295$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.27 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed GamerLegion | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed GamerLegion | 61c | 1,985$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.56 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 1,834$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.63 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked GamerLegion | 78c | 1,720$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 1,222$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.13 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…22efbacked GamerLegion | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked GamerLegion | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked GamerLegion | 65c | 984.05$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.22 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…0adcbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 968.76$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.13 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed GamerLegion | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb82…524bbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 417.6$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked GamerLegion | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 368.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 362.03$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 361.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.89 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ac69backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed GamerLegion | 68c | 294$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Virtus.pro | 6c | 279$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Virtus.pro | 20c | 224.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed GamerLegion | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed GamerLegion | 45c | 199.94$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.97 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…53ebbacked GamerLegion | 78c | 113.03$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked GamerLegion | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed GamerLegion | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 98.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked GamerLegion | 80c | 93.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -9.0wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…22abbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 80.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…3acfbacked GamerLegion | 47c | 79.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 76.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82b…5211backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 68.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 68.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked GamerLegion | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed GamerLegion | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…2087backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 54.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed GamerLegion | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed GamerLegion | 44c | 51.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked GamerLegion | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6e…9191backed GamerLegion | 70c | 48.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ef…a82abacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 47.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked GamerLegion | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d6…796dbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 37.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 29.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked GamerLegion | 67c | 28.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6e…45f1backed GamerLegion | 47c | 27.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc834…e471backed GamerLegion | 55c | 26.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2420…9c4bbacked GamerLegion | 47c | 24.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…16febacked GamerLegion | 66c | 24.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942a…d321backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 23.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…a589backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 22.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1448backed GamerLegion | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54c1…623bbacked GamerLegion | 71c | 15.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.