Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Nakashima vs. Sonego
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2913784bb6d1d0ef28f51196d0210f1cc525467f71344fe5d48d8ba2b5dcb8b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sonegoof Nakashima, Sonego
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbada…3fcbbacked Sonego | 45c | 22,387$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,387.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Nakashima | 49c | 12,759$6,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,267.48 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nakashima | 61c | 9,524$5,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,816.71 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Sonego | 67c | 5,987$4,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Nakashima | 58c | 5,016$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.17 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Nakashima | 70c | 4,550$3,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa56…f232backed Sonego | 29c | 4,486$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nakashima | 48c | 4,252$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.69 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sonego | 38c | 3,522$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.77 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sonego | 60c | 3,467$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.7 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Sonego | 38c | 3,008$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.98 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Nakashima | 58c | 3,008$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.19 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Sonego | 33c | 1,841$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.12 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Sonego | 31c | 1,617$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.54 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Sonego | 46c | 1,392$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.52 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Nakashima | 51c | 1,206$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.9 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Sonego | 52c | 1,135$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.96 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Nakashima | 62c | 899.99$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.99 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sonego | 29c | 897$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.69 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…4267backed Sonego | 63c | 809.19$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.55 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…3f3ebacked Sonego | 48c | 771.83$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.35 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Sonego | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Sonego | 44c | 702.92$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.49 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Nakashima | 51c | 665.62$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.98 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Nakashima | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Sonego | 46c | 548.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.24 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Sonego | 56c | 537.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.13 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nakashima | 61c | 463.54$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.32 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked Sonego | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…3a28backed Sonego | 25c | 380$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nakashima | 62c | 373.68$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.68 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…482fbacked Nakashima | 30c | 355.52$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sonego | 37c | 312$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.56 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…4e87backed Nakashima | 59c | 306.78$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sonego | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…53e9backed Sonego | 51c | 288.95$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.55 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…f107backed Nakashima | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0455…e25abacked Sonego | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c6…ddcdbacked Nakashima | 70c | 234.95$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nakashima | 60c | 232.53$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.52 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Sonego | 42c | 201.58$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.91 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Sonego | 32c | 200$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Nakashima | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a62…57cabacked Sonego | 30c | 165.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.59 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nakashima | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nakashima | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Nakashima | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Sonego | 38c | 130.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nakashima | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Sonego | 77c | 110.49$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Nakashima | 57c | 106.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sonego | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed Sonego | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Nakashima | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…644bbacked Sonego | 77c | 89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed Sonego | 36c | 82.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…98a6backed Nakashima | 63c | 78.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…c3d0backed Sonego | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Nakashima | 75c | 72.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked Sonego | 54c | 72.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Nakashima | 51c | 71.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…04bfbacked Sonego | 55c | 69.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd10…f4bcbacked Sonego | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sonego | 37c | 66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked Nakashima | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d6…21f7backed Nakashima | 32c | 62.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…d662backed Sonego | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Sonego | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sonego | 37c | 52.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…e8c9backed Nakashima | 62c | 50.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Sonego | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Nakashima | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Nakashima | 56c | 49.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Sonego | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Nakashima | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Nakashima | 47c | 44.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Sonego | 33c | 41.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…1815backed Sonego | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed Sonego | 46c | 34.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Nakashima | 62c | 33.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Sonego | 37c | 30.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked Sonego | 66c | 29.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…7084backed Sonego | 42c | 28.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…38eabacked Nakashima | 80c | 26.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Nakashima | 61c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 102 | 66.7%68 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Nakashima | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.