TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Red Sox vs. Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Angelsof Red Sox, Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$206,719
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,866

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,719 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked Red Sox51c24,523$12,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,506.8616643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Red Sox34c13,313$4,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,470.7854941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Angels80c10,028$7,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.041,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Red Sox20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00015745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8df…3fbcbacked Red Sox51c9,999$5,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x839b…27c3backed Angels49c9,998$4,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,098.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+91.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Angels49c7,413$3,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,780.6326355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Red Sox52c7,099$3,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,691.4717351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Angels48c6,995$3,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,637.5238047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Angels66c6,682$4,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.2586751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels49c6,500$3,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,346.562,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Angels68c6,359$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,059.197663.2%48 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox52c6,226$3,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,255.2698149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Angels47c5,951$2,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.482,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox34c5,704$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.091,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox38c5,086$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.269,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Angels47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.991250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Angels49c4,612$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.247758.4%45 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Angels27c3,704$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,704.4428646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Angels52c3,387$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.8641643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Angels47c3,384$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.71,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Red Sox32c3,306$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.8811036.4%40 W · 70 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Angels74c2,650$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6897455.4%41 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Angels49c2,639$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.8769249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Angels49c2,530$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.350852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Angels48c2,376$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.3549250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Red Sox59c2,252$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.0896133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Angels48c2,208$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.3735854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Red Sox53c2,121$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.1317354.9%95 W · 78 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Red Sox33c2,029$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.1313450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Angels48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04027953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab0…d582backed Angels49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.033743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Angels49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Red Sox52c1,988$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.7531346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Red Sox1c1,927$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.198762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Red Sox52c1,844$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95029240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Angels50c1,714$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.2153448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Red Sox42c1,626$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6834461.4%27 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Red Sox61c1,581$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9701,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Red Sox1c1,571$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.265053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6f…482cbacked Red Sox52c1,540$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.86553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Red Sox26c1,532$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.7811838.1%45 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Angels49c1,471$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.432864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Red Sox46c1,386$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.92634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x998c…6f97backed Red Sox30c1,343$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003129%9 W · 22 L-8.0wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-50.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Red Sox2c1,315$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4746631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a5b…e79dbacked Angels44c1,298$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.24850%24 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Angels42c1,286$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.7219348.7%94 W · 99 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Angels48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox53c944.06$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Red Sox52c869.78$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.961,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf7…b626backed Angels48c835$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.21952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x014a…8aefbacked Red Sox52c835$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Angels48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.331,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Red Sox52c807.69$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42020150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Red Sox62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc835…6a0abacked Red Sox2c805.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Red Sox46c782.01$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.552542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Angels47c750$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.525416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf469…3c1dbacked Red Sox69c738.34$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Red Sox2c733.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.881,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80b1…f64abacked Red Sox28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004050%20 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ff…84babacked Red Sox28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007951.9%41 W · 38 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Angels67c706.38$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.4540547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x754d…d51dbacked Red Sox31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2313…3ee6backed Red Sox53c628.08$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3305145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Angels48c601.85$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31340152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Angels47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31833852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox53c595.02$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.251,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Red Sox23c551.4$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.357035.7%25 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Angels48c546.45$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.3319650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3587…23adbacked Red Sox19c535.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007244.4%32 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Angels63c525.69$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.3497950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox54c499.99$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Angels53c456.6$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.861,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Red Sox12c451$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5738741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Red Sox42c440$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5765549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Red Sox38c421.05$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16017754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Angels62c412.99$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.945050%25 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox42c410.26$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.824,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfb…deb3backed Angels49c409.58$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Angels47c382.55$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0632832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x286e…c5fbbacked Angels72c372.46$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.299756.7%55 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Angels67c342.45$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.54425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-62.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Angels47c336.74$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.471,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e7…d29ebacked Red Sox15c303.64$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.021225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-54%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Angels48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15642452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox53c300$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Angels43c290.57$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.917841%32 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba41…095cbacked Red Sox53c278.74$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.733852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61bb…e54bbacked Angels68c278.1$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.993554.3%19 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc3b…f625backed Red Sox34c232.17$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.947935.4%28 W · 51 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Sox20c222.73$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.566645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Red Sox27c220$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4541751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Angels48c209$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.681,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Angels48c209$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6840548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Angels47c199.97$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.992,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcdc…15cabacked Red Sox52c198$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.967847.4%37 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Red Sox52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010041%41 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Red Sox54c186.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3418449.5%91 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.