MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7013705082a540e7c1fdf975f5bb2299973381a0f5215762b0e81a548db025c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Nationals, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Nationals | 30c | 25,000$7,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,495 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Dodgers | 77c | 19,502$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,501.88 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dodgers | 60c | 19,050$11,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,541.26 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 29c | 13,191$3,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,876.94 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4f…12e2backed Dodgers | 73c | 9,996$7,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…ee0cbacked Nationals | 27c | 9,996$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dodgers | 70c | 8,065$5,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.15 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Nationals | 63c | 7,884$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Dodgers | 59c | 4,500$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.69 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Dodgers | 70c | 4,440$3,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Dodgers | 70c | 3,234$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.88 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 30c | 3,200$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 48c | 3,082$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.81 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 71c | 2,117$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.9 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nationals | 31c | 2,001$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.42 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Dodgers | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Dodgers | 76c | 1,839$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.97 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Nationals | 27c | 1,762$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.87 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Nationals | 2c | 1,750$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Dodgers | 73c | 1,666$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.82 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 70c | 1,591$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.8 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers | 71c | 1,218$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.9 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nationals | 4c | 1,120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Dodgers | 69c | 1,119$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.38 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Dodgers | 42c | 1,079$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.2 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dodgers | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Nationals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Nationals | 18c | 948.85$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dodgers | 70c | 857$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.1 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Nationals | 31c | 809.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.1 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 31c | 799.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Dodgers | 39c | 775.92$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.31 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Dodgers | 37c | 676.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.77 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Nationals | 47c | 603.94$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Nationals | 30c | 569.7$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.91 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…2da2backed Nationals | 29c | 540.34$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Dodgers | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Dodgers | 38c | 450$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Dodgers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 71c | 354.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Nationals | 31c | 329.37$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 69c | 320$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Nationals | 62c | 299.88$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.77 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Nationals | 68c | 292.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 49c | 274.19$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.68 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Nationals | 32c | 259.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Dodgers | 68c | 218.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…afd0backed Nationals | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Dodgers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 26c | 199.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Dodgers | 69c | 198.03$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Dodgers | 69c | 193.04$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 29c | 184.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…e0fcbacked Nationals | 31c | 165.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Dodgers | 74c | 154.3$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Nationals | 57c | 151$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Dodgers | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Dodgers | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 74c | 135.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Dodgers | 75c | 133.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Nationals | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Dodgers | 42c | 118.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Nationals | 11c | 116$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Dodgers | 33c | 112.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Dodgers | 34c | 107.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nationals | 72c | 102.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Nationals | 39c | 101.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nationals | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Nationals | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked Dodgers | 72c | 99.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Nationals | 75c | 83.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Nationals | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Nationals | 32c | 79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nationals | 30c | 78.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Dodgers | 68c | 73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Dodgers | 66c | 63.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19c…3e81backed Dodgers | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Dodgers | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc811…a5b9backed Nationals | 27c | 55.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Dodgers | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Nationals | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Dodgers | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c95…5825backed Dodgers | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Nationals | 29c | 46.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers | 59c | 41.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Dodgers | 38c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c06…b9c3backed Nationals | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Dodgers | 68c | 29.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Dodgers | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Dodgers | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Dodgers | 62c | 26.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Dodgers | 73c | 24.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers | 69c | 22.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Dodgers | 68c | 22.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c4f3backed Dodgers | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Dodgers | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…0c63backed Dodgers | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.