CS2 · resolved market
IEM Cologne: FaZe vs. Natus Vincere
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22d7ddc499a59d69a80b56852dc0279f91314a3f352bdb115558fca5c9e2358f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof FaZe, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7600…4478backed FaZe | 48c | 4,612$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.57 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…8169backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 3,798$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.64 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed FaZe | 17c | 3,708$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.74 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed FaZe | 6c | 1,570$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed FaZe | 2c | 1,550$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FaZe | 3c | 1,265$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked FaZe | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed FaZe | 12c | 845.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed FaZe | 18c | 823.16$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.84 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked FaZe | 21c | 807.94$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.67 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…50e2backed FaZe | 8c | 472.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 471.29$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.29 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed FaZe | 13c | 400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…93acbacked FaZe | 39c | 360.02$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad2…f7f0backed FaZe | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 258.51$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked FaZe | 23c | 243.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FaZe | 49c | 221.62$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed FaZe | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…b785backed FaZe | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…3f3ebacked FaZe | 49c | 179.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed FaZe | 37c | 165$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 149.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed FaZe | 40c | 149$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed FaZe | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed FaZe | 22c | 93.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed FaZe | 14c | 87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…32b9backed FaZe | 24c | 79.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…096ebacked FaZe | 50c | 63.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 59.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5f…8989backed FaZe | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…e4f4backed FaZe | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9594…eefabacked FaZe | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…1162backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 26.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…2dd6backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…2844backed FaZe | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…f5c4backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 19.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.