Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Yastremska vs. Gauff (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92dba834fb2017271bba6d3c3fea352abd1908846c4d204342b68b915234e4e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yastremskaof Yastremska, Gauff
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yastremska | 54c | 8,101$4,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705.74 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Gauff | 49c | 7,360$3,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633.89 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Yastremska | 22c | 6,073$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,731.32 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yastremska | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,150 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yastremska | 19c | 1,960$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.51 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed Gauff | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yastremska | 19c | 1,500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.99 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yastremska | 17c | 1,421$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.37 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Gauff | 51c | 1,206$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.24 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yastremska | 29c | 997.39$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.13 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6948…4370backed Yastremska | 19c | 980$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +64%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa3…f82dbacked Gauff | 74c | 926$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…87c1backed Yastremska | 47c | 744.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Gauff | 58c | 661.94$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.87 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yastremska | 16c | 624.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.98 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…3038backed Gauff | 56c | 535.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Gauff | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Yastremska | 41c | 474.94$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.94 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yastremska | 43c | 465.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.35 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yastremska | 19c | 448$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.08 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Gauff | 78c | 335.71$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.71 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Gauff | 38c | 296.43$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Yastremska | 18c | 278$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.96 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Yastremska | 18c | 276.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Yastremska | 70c | 270.9$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yastremska | 52c | 270.84$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.84 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Yastremska | 18c | 250$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…3f3ebacked Yastremska | 70c | 238.87$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Yastremska | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yastremska | 22c | 180$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.8 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Gauff | 59c | 158.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yastremska | 54c | 154$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…6968backed Yastremska | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Gauff | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Gauff | 37c | 136.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yastremska | 54c | 124.15$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yastremska | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Yastremska | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +234.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Yastremska | 68c | 99.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…21f9backed Yastremska | 20c | 97.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Gauff | 80c | 97.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yastremska | 44c | 91.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Gauff | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed Gauff | 36c | 61.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Yastremska | 19c | 57.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Gauff | 63c | 52.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9c…0fe6backed Yastremska | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Yastremska | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…19e8backed Gauff | 57c | 27.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…dab2backed Gauff | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.