Tennis · resolved market
ATP Toronto – Davidovich Fokina vs. Mensik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x764b0ef91214e58423300b4e3c0b1baf38f8bee26a853fdbdf5a0d6a387af154
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fokina of Fokina , Mensik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Mensik | 28c | 14,205$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.3 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Fokina | 52c | 6,129$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.16 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Fokina | 73c | 6,114$4,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.28 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mensik | 39c | 5,169$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.78 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Mensik | 49c | 4,600$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fokina | 60c | 3,872$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.07 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Mensik | 29c | 3,652$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Fokina | 54c | 3,253$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.37 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mensik | 47c | 2,700$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.99 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Mensik | 45c | 2,367$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.31 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Fokina | 51c | 2,331$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.8 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Fokina | 53c | 1,881$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.54 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Fokina | 52c | 1,500$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mensik | 46c | 1,467$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Fokina | 79c | 1,286$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.01 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Fokina | 54c | 1,266$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.82 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Fokina | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Mensik | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Mensik | 14c | 983.37$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mensik | 22c | 944.69$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.01 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Mensik | 49c | 765.31$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…3f3ebacked Mensik | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Mensik | 33c | 693.78$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.1 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Fokina | 76c | 663.9$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.73 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Fokina | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Mensik | 24c | 574$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mensik | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Mensik | 22c | 428.86$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Mensik | 49c | 417.86$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mensik | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Fokina | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Mensik | 8c | 350$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Fokina | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Fokina | 54c | 298.39$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.39 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…198bbacked Fokina | 72c | 225.47$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Mensik | 48c | 191.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fokina | 50c | 149.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Fokina | 54c | 144.44$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Fokina | 59c | 133.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…786fbacked Fokina | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Fokina | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Mensik | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…f88dbacked Fokina | 53c | 96.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Fokina | 54c | 95.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Mensik | 48c | 80.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fokina | 78c | 78.13$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fokina | 65c | 61.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cb…64e0backed Mensik | 48c | 57.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…6be0backed Fokina | 55c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Fokina | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…624abacked Mensik | 48c | 41.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Fokina | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaece…c992backed Mensik | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…3b47backed Fokina | 53c | 28.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Fokina | 52c | 20.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Fokina | 52c | 19.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.