CS2 · resolved market
IEM Cologne: 3DMAX vs. G2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec01eb6d1c67d9526b5f7c8e121134dbf6393e06f2b0e3cfa0ced7cddcf2f019
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of 3DMAX, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked G2 | 67c | 32,052$21,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,582.54 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked 3DMAX | 33c | 29,916$9,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,871.78 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked 3DMAX | 34c | 25,008$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked G2 | 66c | 18,692$12,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,355.41 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed G2 | 70c | 7,824$5,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.48 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…36cabacked 3DMAX | 33c | 6,130$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed 3DMAX | 32c | 5,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.99 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked G2 | 75c | 4,353$3,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked G2 | 69c | 3,237$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.21 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked G2 | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked 3DMAX | 33c | 2,559$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed 3DMAX | 30c | 2,503$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.67 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed G2 | 68c | 2,427$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.64 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed G2 | 68c | 2,192$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.24 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed 3DMAX | 33c | 2,084$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.59 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…8169backed 3DMAX | 35c | 1,528$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.39 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed 3DMAX | 11c | 1,500$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.01 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked G2 | 67c | 1,287$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.94 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed G2 | 65c | 1,225$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.87 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 3DMAX | 2c | 1,184$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked 3DMAX | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed G2 | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…3f3ebacked 3DMAX | 41c | 960.68$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.88 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8604…bbcabacked 3DMAX | 11c | 930$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed 3DMAX | 39c | 904.54$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.98 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…7120backed G2 | 68c | 768.94$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed G2 | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed 3DMAX | 36c | 713.15$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked G2 | 63c | 699.45$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.17 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed G2 | 65c | 637.12$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.73 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed 3DMAX | 33c | 610.97$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed 3DMAX | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed 3DMAX | 21c | 598.55$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.34 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…3ea3backed G2 | 68c | 589.12$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed 3DMAX | 20c | 426$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed 3DMAX | 31c | 417.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed G2 | 68c | 398.74$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked 3DMAX | 33c | 363.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked G2 | 69c | 333.33$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed 3DMAX | 31c | 330$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…4f5cbacked 3DMAX | 33c | 303.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed 3DMAX | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked 3DMAX | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked G2 | 66c | 248.42$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed G2 | 67c | 209.68$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed 3DMAX | 34c | 185.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed G2 | 72c | 161$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 112 | 69.6%78 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked 3DMAX | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked G2 | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed G2 | 69c | 144.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6e…9191backed G2 | 74c | 124.78$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed G2 | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x680e…5075backed 3DMAX | 18c | 118.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed G2 | 69c | 107.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed 3DMAX | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed 3DMAX | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked 3DMAX | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed G2 | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked G2 | 61c | 80.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed 3DMAX | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed G2 | 74c | 73.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed 3DMAX | 41c | 72.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked 3DMAX | 31c | 71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…9a3dbacked G2 | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed G2 | 66c | 62.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6649…3e3cbacked 3DMAX | 33c | 60.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed G2 | 68c | 59.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed G2 | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed 3DMAX | 32c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed 3DMAX | 36c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…e4f4backed G2 | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…f5c4backed 3DMAX | 35c | 42.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed G2 | 66c | 30.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked 3DMAX | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed G2 | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed G2 | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked G2 | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…53ebbacked G2 | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.