World Politics · resolved market
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b1ce75aafe5b6b525160b2464d11c6ae9f81047b212c198c00610f95d1fff84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $317,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0886…6072backed Yes | 11c | 83,744$9,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,122.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…10bcbacked Yes | 9c | 47,502$4,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,331.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 9c | 12,671$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.82 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 8c | 7,524$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.66 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 6,767$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 12c | 5,970$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.4 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…3fdcbacked Yes | 5c | 5,804$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.21 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,967$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…ea77backed Yes | 6c | 3,797$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.85 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 6c | 3,411$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 3c | 2,958$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 12c | 2,789$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.94 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf697…a0dbbacked Yes | 4c | 2,480$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 3c | 2,370$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb274…80e6backed Yes | 9c | 2,306$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 10c | 2,190$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.45 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 3c | 1,938$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fef…5053backed Yes | 16c | 1,691$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 10c | 1,638$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…6bc7backed Yes | 12c | 1,531$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 9c | 1,500$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 1,359$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.26 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes | 3c | 1,302$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 12c | 1,286$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.6 | 129 | 20.9%27 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…0054backed Yes | 11c | 1,270$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…4461backed Yes | 8c | 1,235$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed Yes | 6c | 1,224$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…82ddbacked Yes | 6c | 1,064$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…7b80backed Yes | 5c | 1,056$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d73…f538backed Yes | 16c | 1,049$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…10c8backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…c80fbacked Yes | 10c | 977.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…9143backed Yes | 10c | 841.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -78%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…cf2abacked Yes | 16c | 838$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 9c | 799.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 13c | 770.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb3…9f21backed Yes | 6c | 749.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 651.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…117abacked Yes | 9c | 615.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes | 14c | 600.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf383…8b45backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…8fe0backed Yes | 7c | 524.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 503.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…2783backed Yes | 12c | 496.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f4…b654backed Yes | 17c | 485.03$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…e62dbacked Yes | 5c | 438.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb33…1fe7backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 9c | 388.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9835…e569backed Yes | 5c | 366.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 7c | 333.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 203 | 28.6%58 W · 145 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 14c | 321.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…2ec3backed Yes | 6c | 314.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Yes | 18c | 239.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b7efbacked Yes | 9c | 220.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…65f9backed Yes | 18c | 220.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Yes | 13c | 218.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 61 | 18%11 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380b…81b5backed Yes | 9c | 205.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Yes | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…8f53backed Yes | 9c | 172.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c7…e05abacked Yes | 7c | 156.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb578…ab8cbacked Yes | 10c | 146.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 15cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…cd54backed Yes | 14c | 141.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4a…a72ebacked Yes | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…a434backed Yes | 14c | 130.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed Yes | 12c | 121.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…fa76backed Yes | 14c | 114$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…13d4backed Yes | 19c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…c58abacked Yes | 15c | 102.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…a43cbacked Yes | 15c | 100.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ae…0974backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe282…a305backed Yes | 12c | 83.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c96…a9febacked Yes | 34c | 58.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?this page
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Yes won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of SOS?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of UDMR?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be from another party?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.