Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Bitcoin all time high before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf96940d5a8805a501bb6c59b9c138110cb1861f4858e7f042b3ee87e2231819
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $605,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $523,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $605,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 8c | 177,479$14,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,062.01 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 1c | 25,500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.27 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 21c | 17,865$3,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,807.01 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 14,754$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.05 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…3e25backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 9,900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdc…49ffbacked No | 77c | 9,000$6,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.52 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1be9…47e1backed Yes | 5c | 8,400$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 31c | 8,236$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,713 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 7c | 6,664$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.65 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 25c | 6,354$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.61 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0620…1295backed Yes | 12c | 5,581$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 8c | 5,191$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.02 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…6e48backed Yes | 3c | 4,991$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…e4bdbacked No | 62c | 4,790$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 24c | 4,510$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.54 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…8145backed No | 68c | 4,281$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.37 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed Yes | 17c | 3,852$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.54 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Yes | 73c | 3,806$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.84 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Yes | 5c | 3,473$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.49 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 35c | 3,361$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.2 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed No | 41c | 3,267$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…c4a1backed No | 72c | 3,167$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.73 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…3102backed Yes | 6c | 3,118$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 3,100$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.06 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 3c | 2,900$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe2…3c39backed Yes | 7c | 2,870$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,828$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…0b58backed No | 75c | 2,646$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.61 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…05e2backed Yes | 6c | 2,605$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…1185backed Yes | 2c | 2,585$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…e251backed Yes | 7c | 2,577$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b3…872ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693d…fc7cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,356$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed No | 64c | 2,280$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…5be3backed Yes | 54c | 1,852$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…8f10backed No | 73c | 1,509$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…42e7backed Yes | 29c | 1,417$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 1,344$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.58 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,279$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…3ca9backed No | 76c | 1,271$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 48c | 1,234$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed Yes | 12c | 1,205$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.59 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 73c | 1,195$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.61 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…f0afbacked No | 60c | 1,175$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14d9…407dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,162$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c1…0f60backed Yes | 9c | 1,102$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 77c | 1,043$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.76 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…007cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,020$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9188…e046backed No | 57c | 1,001$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 47c | 995.38$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf950…81d1backed Yes | 3c | 979.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 969.8$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.21 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47bf…573dbacked Yes | 7c | 968.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked No | 71c | 946.57$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.51 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d84…2db1backed Yes | 49c | 934.98$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed Yes | 2c | 931.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 61c | 820$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed No | 51c | 799.99$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…2fa9backed Yes | 49c | 786$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.89 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed Yes | 3c | 775.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…e808backed No | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 25c | 734.04$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.04 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…12f8backed No | 21c | 706.37$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +368.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 48c | 699.99$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked No | 49c | 677.03$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…9619backed Yes | 7c | 672.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8115…3622backed Yes | 24c | 667.26$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.7 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…4736backed Yes | 42c | 655.55$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked Yes | 65c | 646.14$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…58d9backed No | 80c | 630$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…1ea1backed No | 76c | 620$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.88 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…d0e8backed Yes | 6c | 615.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…4a4bbacked Yes | 5c | 602.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…9356backed No | 21c | 571.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…968ebacked Yes | 5c | 569.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…de3abacked Yes | 12c | 556.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…04a9backed Yes | 3c | 541.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…cf3cbacked Yes | 6c | 529.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed No | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…9a72backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 73c | 468.23$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…7bc5backed Yes | 4c | 464.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 43c | 460.18$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.62 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…eae8backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3390…95d6backed No | 58c | 450.74$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…5e2cbacked Yes | 5c | 426.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…2a81backed No | 59c | 425.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…8992backed Yes | 72c | 416.98$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…4301backed Yes | 22c | 412$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd2…6826backed No | 65c | 393.9$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…afddbacked Yes | 23c | 386.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdccb…3932backed Yes | 10c | 381.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…c0e9backed Yes | 14c | 365.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…58c2backed Yes | 28c | 361.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07f…4000backed No | 56c | 354.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b43…d030backed Yes | 13c | 340.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…a946backed No | 28c | 325.57$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.