Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a868e7926f4d8e6e2beffaa930a3df71f2c572b7ec5a3631c5b35eed8b0fb23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,827,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,031,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,827,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 5c | 432,406$23,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,116.28 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 73c | 160,342$116,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,758.75 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7909…de2ebacked Yes | 2c | 70,147$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.14 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d0…a088backed Yes | 2c | 42,570$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8489…208dbacked Yes | 12c | 29,989$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…73dfbacked Yes | 3c | 29,667$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…667fbacked Yes | 2c | 23,600$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.69 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29f…5ccabacked No | 77c | 22,941$17,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,374.66 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 76c | 22,864$17,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,576.15 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…0f84backed Yes | 17c | 21,661$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,592.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6f35backed Yes | 18c | 20,752$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,765.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…7696backed Yes | 13c | 14,008$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1b…d367backed No | 68c | 12,354$8,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,957.58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…b7aabacked Yes | 20c | 11,411$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 13c | 11,149$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.96 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…eb72backed Yes | 2c | 10,827$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…d60dbacked No | 77c | 10,230$7,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.84 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…0ec7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -97.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed No | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked No | 78c | 10,000$7,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.7 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…099bbacked Yes | 9c | 9,917$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Yes | 14c | 9,616$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ba…c0eebacked No | 67c | 8,555$5,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.07 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…0691backed No | 58c | 7,969$4,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,340.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +308.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 69c | 7,649$5,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.8 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…42d9backed Yes | 4c | 7,273$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc87…2765backed No | 58c | 7,173$4,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4663…867ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 7c | 6,847$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.18 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 6,675$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.33 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 68c | 6,585$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.13 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 37c | 6,298$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,986.2 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc7…7e20backed Yes | 4c | 6,249$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.01 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf712…4bd0backed Yes | 1c | 5,667$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 40c | 5,000$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.74 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…4bc0backed No | 77c | 4,753$3,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.69 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…dc45backed Yes | 14c | 4,742$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…19d8backed Yes | 44c | 4,577$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.47 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6090…39b4backed No | 59c | 4,409$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…95b2backed Yes | 2c | 4,341$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d2ccbacked Yes | 2c | 4,242$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed No | 63c | 4,074$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.65 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb93…45bfbacked Yes | 21c | 3,750$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6a…611abacked Yes | 4c | 3,720$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c2…10cebacked No | 60c | 3,350$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f7…baaebacked No | 63c | 3,350$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed No | 67c | 3,267$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f36…c6d2backed Yes | 2c | 3,212$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.58 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1d…e713backed Yes | 3c | 3,088$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9882…c4ccbacked Yes | 3c | 3,085$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed No | 58c | 3,073$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.64 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…2642backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1e…bb8cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,822$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.76 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 62c | 2,816$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.46 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…f810backed No | 79c | 2,750$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 50c | 2,723$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.36 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…e21dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,664$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…93d1backed Yes | 2c | 2,620$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 71c | 2,410$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.08 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…9c0ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,298$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…a77ebacked No | 76c | 2,111$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…06cdbacked No | 65c | 2,111$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81c…8b78backed Yes | 48c | 2,010$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8e6dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,975$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…1472backed Yes | 6c | 1,786$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…6387backed Yes | 43c | 1,685$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…a33dbacked No | 61c | 1,648$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 1,600$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.14 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x766e…699fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,596$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…fe13backed Yes | 11c | 1,520$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…4620backed Yes | 3c | 1,422$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4439…9c3cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,400$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed No | 59c | 1,364$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 59c | 1,350$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.4 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 1c | 1,195$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +519.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505d…7d62backed Yes | 3c | 1,188$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,168$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 22cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…da7ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,155$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…fc4bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,147$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…4c3abacked No | 64c | 1,122$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee97…ee69backed Yes | 7c | 1,115$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8824…30babacked Yes | 11c | 1,082$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…42e7backed No | 38c | 1,051$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…8072backed No | 68c | 1,025$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 38c | 1,019$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.5 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…aad0backed Yes | 14c | 1,007$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.09 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…c134backed Yes | 15c | 1,002$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked No | 56c | 1,000$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked No | 65c | 1,000$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 25c | 999.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 56c | 993.24$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.79 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b8…be58backed No | 57c | 971.92$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1d…f76ebacked Yes | 11c | 950$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 11c | 911.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e57…84a5backed No | 57c | 883.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d59…137bbacked Yes | 10c | 862.92$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a7…a9dabacked Yes | 12c | 858.27$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…214abacked No | 61c | 820.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8b…6fc5backed No | 71c | 799.99$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.24 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?this page
- Will XRP dip to $1.0 in July?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.4 in July?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.7 in July?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.9 in July?No won
- Will XRP dip to $2.0 in July?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.3 in July?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.4 in July?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.6 in July?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.9 in July?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $3.2 in July?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $3.4 in July?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $3.7 in July?No won
- Will XRP reach $5.0 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.