Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP reach $2.9 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae74f60322b4f1933c4c3ac1236df910ca90cf6283517c5f1bddac7955045452
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f1b…d367backed No | 8c | 33,999$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.73 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 23c | 17,450$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,505.04 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 17c | 4,109$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,389.72 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 17c | 3,910$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 28c | 3,259$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.93 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 38c | 2,658$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.36 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 74c | 2,050$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.99 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed No | 79c | 2,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…3738backed Yes | 15c | 1,934$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 20c | 1,750$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.5 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 24c | 1,169$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.66 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…6ca1backed No | 80c | 1,044$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe074…16c0backed No | 20c | 989.25$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9882…c4ccbacked Yes | 21c | 705$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…f810backed No | 79c | 700$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…fe13backed Yes | 20c | 470$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.9 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…0de1backed Yes | 14c | 403.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.81 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +238.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked No | 77c | 391.95$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.3 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…edfbbacked Yes | 48c | 323.48$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d2ccbacked Yes | 12c | 282.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.82 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed No | 65c | 275.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.9 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…1c5bbacked No | 79c | 251.9$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…0f84backed Yes | 62c | 250.32$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…ac1abacked No | 13c | 225$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 205.2$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…9dfbbacked Yes | 63c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…e21dbacked Yes | 14c | 138.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked Yes | 59c | 136.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…2b5fbacked Yes | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 56c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…5374backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8b…6fc5backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…aad0backed Yes | 16c | 94.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb93…45bfbacked Yes | 63c | 79.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee7…93babacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 16c | 75.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3086…e5e1backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +268.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked No | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…4620backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2d…babfbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…819bbacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…ed8cbacked Yes | 61c | 27.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…b618backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…690dbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 58c | 23.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…c34abacked Yes | 44c | 23.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e6…e7f2backed No | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…7f21backed No | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7b…1873backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP reach $2.9 in July?this page
- Will XRP dip to $1.0 in July?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.4 in July?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.7 in July?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.9 in July?No won
- Will XRP dip to $2.0 in July?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.3 in July?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.4 in July?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.6 in July?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $3.2 in July?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $3.4 in July?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $3.7 in July?No won
- Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?No won
- Will XRP reach $5.0 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.