Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP reach $3.7 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x103a6b1181d8e9f3363f7e62c102530516332c3dfa5e1a893bd733f7a727d1f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $444,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $413,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 19c | 50,373$9,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,552.87 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…0691backed No | 15c | 30,707$4,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,949.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +308.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 74c | 22,100$16,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,307.71 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1b…d367backed No | 47c | 12,657$5,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,663.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf712…4bd0backed Yes | 1c | 11,866$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 7c | 11,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 15c | 9,351$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.54 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…a33dbacked No | 39c | 6,228$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,827.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 69c | 4,771$3,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.58 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8e6dbacked Yes | 9c | 4,764$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5d…6be6backed No | 73c | 4,151$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.46 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +58%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,085$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 40c | 2,744$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.29 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 22c | 2,108$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.68 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 14c | 2,037$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249c…2783backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 27c | 1,658$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.17 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked No | 44c | 1,426$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.65 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a5…c41bbacked No | 37c | 1,335$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…58ffbacked No | 78c | 1,275$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d2ccbacked Yes | 1c | 1,010$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked No | 38c | 999.28$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…87e0backed No | 54c | 987.56$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 36c | 961.93$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.93 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 11c | 939.64$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.28 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed No | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.09 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…96a7backed Yes | 34c | 842.58$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.98 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…ca68backed No | 31c | 769.93$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.93 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 31c | 748$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.52 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf14e…86efbacked Yes | 9c | 745.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 23c | 725.77$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb93…45bfbacked Yes | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296a…fb2fbacked Yes | 63c | 598.57$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.67 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1d…e713backed Yes | 4c | 555.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 27c | 540$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.4 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…7f58backed No | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…fef0backed No | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 444.83$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…323fbacked Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…2a72backed No | 24c | 422.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…3a5dbacked No | 33c | 394.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.57 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…90f4backed No | 74c | 380$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…b808backed Yes | 13c | 373$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…637bbacked Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d4…ba68backed No | 13c | 353.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…8b82backed No | 27c | 346.78$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x436b…f51ebacked Yes | 73c | 307.29$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38d…cb53backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…e0d3backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…e75bbacked No | 40c | 190$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 73c | 181.34$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.11 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…7db5backed Yes | 65c | 155.17$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c5…7b67backed Yes | 31c | 152.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed Yes | 77c | 147.75$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…5972backed No | 20c | 147.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +392.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dc…6b7ebacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9be…6252backed Yes | 26c | 139.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…0d37backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fb…c3efbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b6…9adfbacked No | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0d…59d0backed No | 34c | 116$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf950…81d1backed Yes | 73c | 111$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2681…12bdbacked No | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +161.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb26…dab7backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f44…0d8fbacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…1c7bbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d0…264cbacked No | 40c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f6…ec24backed No | 23c | 99.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 37c | 92.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5d…7af4backed Yes | 22c | 68.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2a…cbefbacked Yes | 61c | 65.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…0358backed No | 43c | 64.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 61 | 88.5%54 W · 7 L | +16.9wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x9045…321abacked No | 33c | 62.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…7a63backed Yes | 71c | 56.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…a211backed Yes | 20c | 51.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff0…f9e0backed No | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +200.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Yes | 52c | 32.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf26…e5e5backed Yes | 68c | 29.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4c…48ffbacked Yes | 67c | 28.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…9cf4backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.4wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…2479backed Yes | 72c | 26.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fd…41a0backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9259…6584backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e04…a83cbacked Yes | 70c | 19.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…27a6backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9ae7backed Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP reach $3.7 in July?this page
- Will XRP dip to $1.0 in July?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.4 in July?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.7 in July?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.9 in July?No won
- Will XRP dip to $2.0 in July?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.3 in July?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.4 in July?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.6 in July?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.9 in July?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $3.2 in July?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $3.4 in July?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?No won
- Will XRP reach $5.0 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.