Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP reach $3.2 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e4fc7e1a5d62560959f526d29398f093fbed907c0d50e100a9ffbf6e765c261
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 44c | 36,350$15,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,946.56 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed No | 9c | 22,223$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 55c | 15,000$8,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8489…208dbacked Yes | 47c | 8,443$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,441.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5d…6be6backed No | 48c | 8,092$3,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,889.42 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +58%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 6,950$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1b…d367backed Yes | 66c | 5,896$3,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.44 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 54c | 5,000$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf985…d7bcbacked Yes | 48c | 3,713$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb93…45bfbacked Yes | 65c | 3,653$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 30c | 3,339$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.07 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…a2bbbacked Yes | 43c | 2,338$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…0f84backed Yes | 58c | 2,084$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adc…6c6ebacked No | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6f35backed Yes | 48c | 1,986$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 60c | 1,426$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.39 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 65c | 1,371$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.39 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…9dfbbacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…c134backed Yes | 45c | 979.14$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed No | 34c | 917.08$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.13 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked No | 42c | 708.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…fef0backed No | 50c | 600$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 25c | 590.3$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.83 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe746…3f6ebacked No | 42c | 519.17$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 52c | 517$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.59 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fecfbacked Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed No | 51c | 481.68$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.04 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed Yes | 44c | 460$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…0d37backed Yes | 70c | 428.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2a…cbefbacked Yes | 65c | 388.75$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 47c | 386$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.42 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 74c | 381.79$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…a0a1backed Yes | 73c | 340$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed Yes | 39c | 337$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.57 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…8e89backed No | 18c | 319.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 36c | 293.78$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9882…c4ccbacked Yes | 64c | 220.31$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73e…9e1bbacked No | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…ca68backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e27…4e9ebacked No | 40c | 209$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…6ce0backed No | 57c | 205.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed No | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d59…137bbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8824…30babacked Yes | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…0893backed Yes | 47c | 188.09$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…970ebacked No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…96a7backed Yes | 75c | 170$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…aad0backed Yes | 79c | 167.15$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…25c2backed No | 34c | 152.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…a790backed Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe339…00d8backed Yes | 64c | 148.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e4…43d5backed Yes | 52c | 137.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…9e73backed Yes | 70c | 122.73$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88a…4f75backed No | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc679…4914backed Yes | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…b618backed Yes | 70c | 119.4$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7670…4e33backed No | 41c | 106.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…6d6cbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf14e…86efbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 45c | 90.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0e…abaabacked Yes | 64c | 75.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…c8b8backed No | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c9…479ebacked Yes | 45c | 44.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…c302backed Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…7ca4backed Yes | 55c | 36.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…e84dbacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccd…48cdbacked No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3478…1237backed No | 55c | 30.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0e…01c6backed Yes | 50c | 29.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…947bbacked No | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed Yes | 47c | 27.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x123b…4744backed Yes | 52c | 26.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b83…3a2ebacked No | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7b…1873backed No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…0358backed Yes | 61c | 22.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 61 | 88.5%54 W · 7 L | +16.9wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…4e0bbacked Yes | 63c | 21.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe420…87e4backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5578backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8870…5259backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP reach $3.2 in July?this page
- Will XRP dip to $1.0 in July?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.4 in July?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.7 in July?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.9 in July?No won
- Will XRP dip to $2.0 in July?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.3 in July?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.4 in July?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.6 in July?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.9 in July?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $3.4 in July?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $3.7 in July?No won
- Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?No won
- Will XRP reach $5.0 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.