TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2025 Travelers Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,662
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,662 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes0c8,428$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.572953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes59c6,500$3,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,83523319.3%45 W · 188 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5a…024bbacked Yes45c6,416$2,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,917.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5172…0581backed Yes2c5,714$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e8…a7bdbacked No43c5,067$2,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,890.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No42c4,844$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,828.91216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+336.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No54c4,799$2,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,185.463447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes2c3,809$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.99450%2 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+1,166.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0416…9b31backed Yes59c2,985$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed No41c2,719$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.481931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes33c1,673$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.82343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2422…d02cbacked Yes33c1,670$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.06156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-80.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No42c1,459$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.96540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid-20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes16c1,410$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.24918.4%9 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes63c1,141$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Yes14c1,100$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No62c996.32$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.154955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb02f…0673backed No20c723$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick20cpaid+158.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf68…3fdebacked No44c690$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed58…331dbacked Yes61c578.34$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.22147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick23cpaid-59.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe3c…9dc1backed Yes42c459.83$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc91f…e850backed Yes68c402.48$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes56c399.26$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.183429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+87.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes62c242$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2710850%54 W · 54 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes63c238.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-52.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No21c216.54$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+336.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes37c206.52$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.06520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid+31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e43…18a1backed No61c204.12$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa3…f82dbacked No60c200$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+68.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0815…b736backed Yes76c148.82$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2067…605dbacked Yes61c141.46$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No68c137.98$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.034748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3498…1533backed Yes52c124.82$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1940%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f0…8a69backed Yes60c105$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.621330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafc2…d32ebacked Yes43c103.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No50c100.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.24065%26 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No59c100.12$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.971050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a10…556cbacked Yes16c86.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x771d…e0ebbacked No41c85.91$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.97933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab24…8c8ebacked Yes66c72.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.73425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-66%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe26f…71fabacked Yes61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ac7…3a34backed No21c64.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.14580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+85.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked No29c61.95$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.862669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+45.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd02d…17e8backed Yes59c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Yes61c54.08$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.994540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd5a…f7a4backed No40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked No54c37.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.111464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes53c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.454520%9 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd870…6cf7backed Yes59c22.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x220d…8dd7backed Yes59c22.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec3f…3526backed Yes59c22.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.