Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53077060468dd423ed076fa338af490b945b2ca971330b1828b3313b80106ca1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $353,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 3c | 47,712$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.43 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 1c | 27,845$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.05 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f7…c2e2backed No | 46c | 26,517$12,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,319.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…82abbacked Yes | 54c | 26,517$14,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,319.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e0…1483backed Yes | 4c | 24,039$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed Yes | 2c | 18,128$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.95 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 6,294$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.43 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8e…299cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2c…89e5backed Yes | 1c | 4,306$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…3390backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,153$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed Yes | 7c | 2,732$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…b595backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1031…dbd7backed Yes | 7c | 2,337$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab45…c4f5backed Yes | 1c | 2,264$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 1c | 2,007$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187a…87ccbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd03…af6bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,989$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 8c | 1,981$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.01 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e6…2e0bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,620$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,526$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 1,295$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…5e6abacked Yes | 17c | 1,287$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.14 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481c…0a0dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,109$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 2c | 1,100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Yes | 30c | 1,072$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 854.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f1…d881backed Yes | 5c | 841.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…e34cbacked Yes | 3c | 827.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ca…6e50backed Yes | 2c | 797.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b52…654bbacked Yes | 3c | 750$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Yes | 7c | 729.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…b1e9backed Yes | 3c | 719.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed No | 72c | 644.98$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…cf04backed No | 71c | 600.45$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked Yes | 8c | 594.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3432…501ebacked Yes | 3c | 575$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 32c | 543.72$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.33 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcee…0f35backed Yes | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce7…f553backed Yes | 29c | 488.37$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed60…0b94backed Yes | 4c | 454.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…9473backed No | 64c | 422.41$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +227.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…11b6backed Yes | 5c | 421.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765e…df12backed Yes | 5c | 365.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4c…8d17backed Yes | 3c | 330.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…0082backed Yes | 3c | 315.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…cfb3backed Yes | 4c | 315.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…53ddbacked No | 74c | 311.24$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 25c | 274.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +321.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2125…f0d0backed Yes | 4c | 245.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa4…93e4backed Yes | 4c | 229.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…e7e6backed Yes | 5c | 205.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…89babacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…316ebacked Yes | 7c | 195.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de7…b4a8backed Yes | 7c | 188.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d5…591bbacked Yes | 29c | 171.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581e…8cebbacked Yes | 35c | 143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5734…f13abacked No | 75c | 137.42$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 33c | 130.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691e…d59dbacked No | 74c | 126.85$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…4e67backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab24…8c8ebacked No | 67c | 120.87$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 27c | 120.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…605dbacked No | 67c | 119.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…17e8backed No | 66c | 107.01$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1515…4320backed Yes | 25c | 103.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…aa44backed No | 69c | 100.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e25…7a93backed No | 71c | 98.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9019…42e0backed No | 73c | 74.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98f…6a3fbacked No | 73c | 65.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…35b1backed No | 66c | 65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4810…d688backed No | 76c | 62.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fb…b892backed No | 75c | 60.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…39b1backed No | 78c | 59.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…7aecbacked No | 69c | 58.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…acdfbacked No | 68c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +187.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…722dbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4974…ea15backed No | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…05f7backed Yes | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…923fbacked No | 67c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…1f07backed No | 69c | 43.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b40…6ec9backed No | 68c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e86…23afbacked Yes | 32c | 40.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 69c | 31.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 73 | 8.2%6 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…4846backed No | 56c | 30.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78af…7059backed Yes | 46c | 29.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…377abacked Yes | 57c | 27.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…ace8backed No | 74c | 27.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff56…ca81backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…0309backed No | 66c | 21.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef2…bc22backed No | 64c | 21.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe699…8790backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?this page
- Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes won
- Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $3300 and $3400 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $3400 and $3500 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $3500 and $3600 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $3600 and $3700 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $3700 and $3800 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.