Music · resolved market
Selena Gomez married in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x815c29a668e00f1cdecd26cab39727d0c8e8acc211109bdd575031800da50ed7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 1c | 4,135$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed No | 4c | 3,929$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…211cbacked No | 25c | 3,064$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 26c | 2,666$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 26cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 41c | 1,352$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.2 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 64c | 922.2$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.74 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Yes | 55c | 897.73$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes | 54c | 800$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes | 68c | 738.1$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…6a74backed Yes | 69c | 500$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 46c | 447.77$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.97 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dea…403abacked No | 3c | 436.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 4c | 426$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 71c | 388.19$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.58 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 30c | 347.58$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.14 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 28c | 339.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86eb…730dbacked No | 12c | 325.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked No | 17c | 306$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…c319backed Yes | 52c | 303.89$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 59c | 289.42$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…cc6cbacked Yes | 55c | 281.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 70c | 279.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Yes | 46c | 275.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…a2d3backed No | 68c | 234.63$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 16c | 201.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b08…8401backed No | 78c | 195.52$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc828…8304backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea08…34f9backed Yes | 51c | 182$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 79c | 176.48$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa13…9c9abacked No | 12c | 172.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 15c | 171.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…49febacked Yes | 60c | 166.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 44c | 153.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.15 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 44c | 152.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 53c | 149.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 64c | 145.23$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3588…5f3bbacked Yes | 51c | 134$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd3…c80fbacked No | 15c | 132.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 47c | 131$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…a19fbacked Yes | 80c | 125.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd91…9d49backed Yes | 50c | 121$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…381cbacked No | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e6…c664backed Yes | 49c | 117$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…1f07backed Yes | 51c | 115.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…f139backed Yes | 50c | 112$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4172…1196backed No | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfeb…758bbacked No | 51c | 108$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe25…44debacked No | 50c | 107$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…b4d7backed Yes | 57c | 107$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 24c | 105.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe24…9dc6backed Yes | 49c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…3f79backed No | 43c | 105$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8344…1a27backed No | 42c | 104$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac7…bf5ebacked No | 34c | 103$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…ccf6backed Yes | 58c | 101$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…722dbacked Yes | 51c | 100.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969c…314cbacked No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb286…1ed1backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 48c | 99.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb88…0e56backed No | 45c | 98.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad16…88bcbacked Yes | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…67d6backed Yes | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb6…667fbacked Yes | 65c | 97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +105%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 48c | 96.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…fd40backed No | 49c | 96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…48e3backed No | 51c | 92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Yes | 73c | 90.93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…d483backed No | 50c | 87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5975…9193backed No | 49c | 84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…1177backed No | 50c | 83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 55c | 82.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c9…e8cebacked Yes | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +146.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…efe0backed Yes | 71c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326a…8fabbacked No | 13c | 74.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae32…dcf4backed Yes | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2631…a885backed No | 52c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa403…9cabbacked Yes | 51c | 69.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a3…7e5cbacked No | 74c | 68.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…752fbacked Yes | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…562fbacked No | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316b…51a2backed Yes | 50c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +48%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c0…511ebacked No | 80c | 62.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…2a2dbacked Yes | 50c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3472…d4f2backed No | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e74…b9ccbacked No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…3d13backed Yes | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…bc2abacked Yes | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9383…5879backed Yes | 48c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…13e9backed No | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x432b…3e44backed Yes | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…4c90backed No | 52c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 70c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…257dbacked No | 42c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…2c6dbacked No | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…6e42backed Yes | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.