Us Politics · resolved market
Trump transgender sports ban?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb987e20506a8f380a3b6dc7154b3fa9ee085c60b7aeca1777bf0bf3a5ccf54df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $252,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 0c | 99,876$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 77c | 18,457$14,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311.96 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…e4eebacked No | 21c | 9,191$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 28c | 6,963$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.69 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 5,896$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…b536backed No | 12c | 5,321$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.03 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 34c | 4,655$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.9 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 74c | 4,553$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.06 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 29c | 4,419$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.51 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 11c | 3,984$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.29 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 11c | 3,789$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.44 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 28c | 3,441$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.98 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 1c | 3,100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8967…1e9bbacked Yes | 76c | 3,053$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 31c | 2,751$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.1 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 30c | 2,734$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.56 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed No | 1c | 2,715$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 21c | 2,003$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.12 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…9d3bbacked Yes | 75c | 1,992$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.61 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 37c | 1,751$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.01 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 71c | 1,721$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.2 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…e366backed Yes | 64c | 1,590$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed No | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.78 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…781abacked Yes | 67c | 1,398$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 7c | 1,349$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 7c | 1,178$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…7820backed Yes | 63c | 1,109$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.59 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 66c | 1,007$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.77 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…8b92backed Yes | 65c | 999.98$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 38c | 999.95$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.98 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd61…0616backed No | 8c | 967.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…adabbacked Yes | 59c | 961.25$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.93 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…b697backed Yes | 70c | 944.6$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 34c | 917.22$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.86 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Yes | 60c | 909.34$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.34 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a4…3956backed No | 35c | 895.99$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…5312backed No | 40c | 869.18$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…acf4backed Yes | 62c | 803.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.54 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4481…e934backed No | 38c | 788.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…d95cbacked Yes | 65c | 765.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 32c | 758.76$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.56 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1ebabacked Yes | 79c | 750$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 20c | 630$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…85ecbacked Yes | 66c | 604.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb010…b243backed No | 50c | 556.61$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…196dbacked No | 30c | 551.68$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.17 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e9…9f36backed No | 38c | 535.27$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.13 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 18c | 502.68$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.28 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdef…010bbacked Yes | 62c | 502.53$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…c356backed Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7e…4a5bbacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed No | 37c | 499.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1b…d2b1backed Yes | 65c | 472.51$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73de…e21cbacked No | 21c | 468.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…b5bfbacked Yes | 65c | 464.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 61c | 454.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.06 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 59c | 445$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.45 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed Yes | 68c | 419.5$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.97 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 62c | 404.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.03 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…70f3backed No | 20c | 399.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 19c | 399.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 70c | 397$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.36 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5acb…80e6backed No | 26c | 392.31$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b648backed Yes | 62c | 387.57$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.28 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked No | 11c | 386.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 40c | 384.45$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.33 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Yes | 65c | 381.88$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…71e8backed No | 42c | 371.82$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.71 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7064backed No | 19c | 345.84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 61c | 332.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d34…5aaebacked No | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked No | 38c | 310$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.3 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x174a…f2cebacked Yes | 63c | 309.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 73c | 304.59$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71fd…fac1backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…5727backed No | 36c | 301.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…0829backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…19d2backed No | 26c | 286.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked No | 15c | 280.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Yes | 61c | 264.65$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5967…22c6backed Yes | 65c | 260$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…4f7fbacked No | 8c | 251.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed No | 38c | 247.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.23 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 38c | 244$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…5887backed Yes | 65c | 240$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…8021backed Yes | 60c | 240$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed No | 9c | 239.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 70 | 14.3%10 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…9d06backed Yes | 78c | 235.08$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcada…1fb5backed No | 23c | 221.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…7213backed Yes | 62c | 220$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 18c | 216.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…a4bebacked No | 7c | 212.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ca…99b9backed Yes | 69c | 203.89$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 26c | 200.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae8…ed0cbacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…8ee7backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…8e95backed No | 36c | 199.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdd…31acbacked No | 26c | 194.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e10…b3a4backed Yes | 62c | 186.19$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.