NFL · resolved market
Will there be a streaker?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e4bf0d1ded2a10390c862a2b382ca9cc7af716acd7fddcf98de7e5712c802e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 70c | 9,223$6,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.07 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,142$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.34 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Yes | 25c | 2,759$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 73c | 2,395$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.31 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 9c | 2,351$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22de…5ab7backed Yes | 38c | 2,231$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed No | 75c | 2,085$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +41%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 24c | 2,060$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.29 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6816…b693backed No | 78c | 1,707$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 69c | 1,669$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.36 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Yes | 30c | 1,270$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.87 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 29c | 1,250$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 70c | 999.97$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 73c | 999.96$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…d053backed Yes | 30c | 951.87$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 69c | 806.97$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.48 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 78c | 764$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.4 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb7…fa61backed Yes | 29c | 751.15$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…ebd0backed Yes | 27c | 729.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 73c | 702.35$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.06 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…bb74backed Yes | 27c | 676.34$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.74 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…620fbacked Yes | 33c | 672.83$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 32cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…dd2bbacked Yes | 29c | 665.77$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked No | 71c | 652.54$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…87a5backed No | 71c | 633.29$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2780…9ac0backed Yes | 32c | 624.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 68c | 594.33$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…ac68backed Yes | 30c | 513$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…0361backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 26c | 477.51$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc38…8df6backed Yes | 33c | 454.52$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4d…caa6backed No | 64c | 411.34$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked No | 70c | 407$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 74c | 406$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.46 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 20c | 403.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 21c | 402$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…da68backed Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 30c | 400$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes | 29c | 400$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8bbbacked No | 74c | 399.98$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…38b1backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…2b52backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b9…2220backed No | 77c | 350$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa3…b35ebacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb3…e5cdbacked Yes | 30c | 337.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…e4c7backed Yes | 33c | 337.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 27c | 329$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 32c | 328.25$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…bccdbacked No | 65c | 321.32$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…db8ebacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed No | 76c | 300$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8329…96c2backed Yes | 26c | 299.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 18c | 299.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…490bbacked Yes | 37c | 299.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked Yes | 24c | 290$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 78c | 282.24$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 65c | 280.61$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 91 | 81.3%74 W · 17 L | +15.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…8f96backed Yes | 27c | 278.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 79c | 262.22$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 69c | 257.38$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 39c | 256.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0455…3474backed Yes | 30c | 226.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d07…31a0backed Yes | 36c | 208.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b8bbbacked Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Yes | 27c | 203.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948e…92b5backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked No | 66c | 199.95$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…ae66backed Yes | 38c | 197.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 68c | 186.66$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9627…432fbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 74c | 184.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…2993backed No | 67c | 178.93$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…2499backed Yes | 28c | 178.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83eb…2ea6backed Yes | 25c | 174.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Yes | 35c | 171.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked No | 69c | 154.16$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1120…9a5bbacked No | 65c | 153.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…0c23backed No | 66c | 149.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…ea2bbacked No | 69c | 140.39$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4c…3486backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a2…4123backed No | 65c | 122.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…6cbcbacked Yes | 44c | 112.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 69c | 110$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0b…16ccbacked Yes | 26c | 107.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdc…0771backed Yes | 24c | 101.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed No | 69c | 100.22$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…9d86backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cba…7d65backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe7…9563backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 25c | 99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 53c | 93.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…9105backed Yes | 15c | 92.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.