TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe98…db8e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Golf, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST2227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$23.49
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$31.32
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Browns vs. Patriotsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Bills vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.81
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$23.78
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.24
Colts vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Eagles vs. Vikingsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$39.25
Will there be a streaker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$28.88
Will Patrick Mahomes score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will DeAndre Hopkins score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+455.6%+$50.11
Will Patrick Mahomes score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.1
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$43.48
All 22 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Texas A&M vs. LSUbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$38.5
Stanford vs. Miamibacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Ole Miss vs. Oklahomabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$50.5
Tennessee vs. Alabamabacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.98
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.68
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$15.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.85
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$259.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.