Music · resolved market
Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7a70c629072e2e136b40d9f8cd18364343fc2e5b6557819afb9c0944370627a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Girlof Boy, Girl
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50bf…33e5backed Girl | 50c | 27,427$13,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,713.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef9…65c9backed Boy | 50c | 27,427$13,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,713.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Boy | 49c | 1,762$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked Boy | 47c | 1,204$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…08fabacked Boy | 39c | 761.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141e…8c87backed Girl | 53c | 722$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Girl | 52c | 685.57$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +167.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Girl | 57c | 677.51$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.16 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Boy | 47c | 632.28$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.35 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Girl | 52c | 546.96$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…1288backed Girl | 79c | 483.81$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.31 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Boy | 46c | 477.25$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9529…7c6abacked Girl | 52c | 440.58$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Girl | 77c | 400$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.52 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Boy | 50c | 362$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed Boy | 38c | 222.75$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…1499backed Boy | 48c | 213.47$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…a3f4backed Boy | 52c | 203.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Girl | 77c | 202.29$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9219backed Girl | 52c | 202.04$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…740abacked Girl | 53c | 189.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bab…b21cbacked Boy | 50c | 180.45$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed Boy | 30c | 175.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Boy | 50c | 154.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Boy | 48c | 153.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Boy | 48c | 141.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…5937backed Girl | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xface…0572backed Boy | 49c | 139.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b29dbacked Girl | 74c | 135.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…216fbacked Boy | 50c | 131.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Girl | 53c | 121.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…4075backed Girl | 50c | 120.37$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed Girl | 50c | 117.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Boy | 22c | 109.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a25…6d20backed Girl | 76c | 104.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…799dbacked Boy | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ad…b1bbbacked Boy | 31c | 100.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…2698backed Girl | 75c | 100.01$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…704fbacked Boy | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…eff5backed Boy | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…7dcbbacked Boy | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4c…dc84backed Girl | 50c | 99.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…dcd8backed Boy | 50c | 98.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Boy | 22c | 97.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…e33abacked Boy | 32c | 97.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…b979backed Boy | 52c | 84.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…9d0fbacked Boy | 50c | 83.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Boy | 26c | 83.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Girl | 49c | 80.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 26cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Girl | 53c | 80.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c72…1e3abacked Girl | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Boy | 50c | 79.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Boy | 23c | 76.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Boy | 49c | 72.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…e295backed Girl | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ce…cf81backed Girl | 52c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…16a6backed Girl | 52c | 60.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…ad8bbacked Boy | 49c | 50.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd32b…a82cbacked Girl | 57c | 50.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed Boy | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Girl | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…19d2backed Girl | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed Girl | 49c | 49.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…c807backed Girl | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…dd6bbacked Boy | 41c | 46.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6465…ee88backed Boy | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…db6bbacked Boy | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b08…8401backed Boy | 51c | 40.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd03f…ec6abacked Girl | 50c | 40.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…e200backed Boy | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…d8afbacked Girl | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…f243backed Boy | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1e…ff2fbacked Boy | 46c | 38.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5429…a2ecbacked Boy | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Girl | 55c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4480…b56dbacked Girl | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed Boy | 49c | 32.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…71aabacked Boy | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked Girl | 55c | 32.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8be…9195backed Boy | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5413…7306backed Boy | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…fadbbacked Boy | 38c | 28.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49da…a37cbacked Girl | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae9…cba1backed Girl | 72c | 24.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…e327backed Girl | 54c | 23.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Boy | 49c | 20.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f28…c3babacked Boy | 50c | 20.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed Girl | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe6…4fa3backed Boy | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb765…f696backed Girl | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd5…c1b1backed Girl | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…8bfabacked Boy | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…ba16backed Girl | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.