Music · resolved market
New Diddy charges before November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa79ecf5bbf0f50b00360b835a3be25c1976701d9e8b61525ea6b16b867d561c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 6c | 3,501$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.66 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 61c | 1,911$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.71 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 41c | 1,698$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 65c | 1,517$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 52c | 1,499$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7a…7a7cbacked No | 74c | 1,222$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 18c | 999.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed No | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked No | 63c | 892.58$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…84a8backed Yes | 35c | 781.14$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…9d0fbacked Yes | 73c | 727.46$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b58…c6a8backed Yes | 24c | 679$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…1138backed Yes | 49c | 626.68$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f13…d602backed Yes | 38c | 600$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 45c | 596.91$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.99 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…443ebacked Yes | 4c | 529.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 38c | 529.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 8c | 515$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2803…0dd7backed Yes | 73c | 502$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2e…40c1backed No | 63c | 494.73$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed No | 67c | 479$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4d…b4e5backed Yes | 22c | 454.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Yes | 13c | 449.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…f67bbacked Yes | 42c | 449.04$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af5…7d3ebacked Yes | 28c | 417.59$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 41c | 402.01$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…7ee5backed Yes | 40c | 398.25$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 52c | 386.19$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.79 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…4fbebacked Yes | 40c | 335.23$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +62%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…ee29backed No | 78c | 298.64$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…8c0dbacked No | 70c | 297.59$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…f112backed Yes | 50c | 279.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…7c5cbacked Yes | 39c | 250$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…5039backed Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…39a1backed Yes | 40c | 248.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…dd7abacked No | 50c | 242.32$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5643…5390backed Yes | 43c | 234.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84f…92e3backed No | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…a612backed Yes | 42c | 213.1$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed No | 74c | 212.26$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a9…48b9backed No | 5c | 211.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed Yes | 47c | 211.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa276…115cbacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde3c…a5eabacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c18…6574backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…182ebacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc231…ff06backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2201…4d72backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9189…8f1cbacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3027…7447backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…dd8ebacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad1…ab85backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c4…4b5fbacked No | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…00afbacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8501…53febacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653b…5e8fbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…1f15backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83da…2f08backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969d…e39dbacked No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfc…0f18backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…81ebbacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…b067backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ea…f79dbacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e7…1022backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b9…dae3backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…0c95backed No | 47c | 187.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 22c | 187.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf97b…d61dbacked Yes | 62c | 182.91$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6dbabacked Yes | 55c | 182$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 173.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…88f6backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed No | 63c | 159.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af0…2f0bbacked No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…99a4backed No | 79c | 157.17$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Yes | 73c | 154.94$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked Yes | 31c | 154.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576e…0995backed Yes | 52c | 153.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7c…c873backed Yes | 23c | 146.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…52b6backed Yes | 39c | 140.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f3…8d6fbacked No | 63c | 120.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…83efbacked Yes | 39c | 109.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5982…fa1ebacked No | 65c | 108.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687e…a509backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc205…eec2backed Yes | 37c | 106.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 45c | 105$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed No | 63c | 104.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 41cpaid | +242.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad03…7803backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…25e2backed Yes | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…8108backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…f5debacked Yes | 39c | 101.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…aa22backed No | 79c | 101.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377f…9e02backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.