Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42e41c3241e943581fbfddc99261b0cb8fe671ad232cb70b76f76805d2bb8151
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $317,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd159…0603backed Yes | 8c | 41,875$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,457.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…4cf4backed Yes | 3c | 19,548$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.69 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 16c | 10,318$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.46 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 12c | 8,793$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.99 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 17c | 7,714$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.7 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 11c | 5,767$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.61 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…44d8backed Yes | 11c | 5,709$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 2c | 5,415$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.91 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 5c | 4,751$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.11 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed No | 60c | 4,543$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.5 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…dcbbbacked Yes | 19c | 4,525$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…a125backed Yes | 35c | 4,344$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.57 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 12c | 4,294$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.18 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 15c | 3,921$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.33 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 80c | 3,149$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.75 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 38c | 2,942$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 16c | 2,885$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.3 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 14c | 2,676$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.42 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…51b7backed Yes | 21c | 2,293$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 76c | 2,107$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.3 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…5ca2backed Yes | 23c | 1,574$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 13c | 1,422$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.17 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 11c | 1,185$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.68 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…62b4backed Yes | 11c | 1,137$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.31 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…9f7ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,116$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 78c | 1,107$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.09 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c0…d714backed Yes | 12c | 1,070$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…e2ffbacked No | 76c | 1,052$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.26 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e0…8412backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381f…bc99backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d3…777fbacked Yes | 13c | 975.27$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…085ebacked Yes | 19c | 953.15$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…100dbacked Yes | 11c | 929.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 817.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f38…dac6backed Yes | 13c | 783$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…3714backed Yes | 3c | 761$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…8eb3backed Yes | 3c | 757.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 54c | 738$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.74 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +10.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 27c | 702.34$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…28c0backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd94…b271backed Yes | 30c | 664.88$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…aebabacked Yes | 2c | 602.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 21c | 600$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 25c | 550.1$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.53 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…bb6dbacked Yes | 2c | 528.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 70c | 519.13$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.17 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f7…9769backed Yes | 12c | 517.12$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed Yes | 39c | 516.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked Yes | 16c | 515.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 13c | 500$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 13c | 476.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2d…f0d4backed Yes | 13c | 474.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…a5afbacked Yes | 36c | 465.54$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.54 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -65%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 14c | 447.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b05…c6c8backed Yes | 10c | 402.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed Yes | 13c | 391.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…a820backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…3c60backed Yes | 13c | 372.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 41c | 358.19$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.78 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…b946backed Yes | 13c | 352.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…ccbabacked No | 64c | 347.44$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c43…113bbacked Yes | 27c | 313.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7c…c3d7backed Yes | 12c | 300.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62c…f445backed Yes | 13c | 287.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 51c | 264.75$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed Yes | 10c | 256$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…da43backed Yes | 11c | 251.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…6d52backed Yes | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes | 16c | 246.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…6743backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -6.5wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 64c | 232.49$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.23 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…5bd2backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2a…81c1backed Yes | 9c | 226.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…a137backed Yes | 18c | 223.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Yes | 13c | 207.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 27c | 205$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…db65backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd12…53fabacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b2…4e0cbacked Yes | 39c | 193.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…1f03backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…ee7bbacked Yes | 40c | 187.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…8844backed Yes | 16c | 187.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae1…5cacbacked Yes | 13c | 180.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 20c | 179$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…b7b6backed Yes | 12c | 176.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c0…d6dcbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked No | 65c | 164.44$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 20c | 160.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…1399backed Yes | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…8914backed Yes | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cb…27b3backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc2…518dbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a6…b961backed Yes | 11c | 148.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…b6a3backed Yes | 14c | 147.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days?this page
- Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in his first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in his first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump meet with MrBeast in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump meet with Narendra Modi in his first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Francis in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in his first 100 days?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.