TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Politics · resolved market

Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in his first 100 days?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,602
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,575

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,602 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes79c4,830$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8002185.7%18 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2aa…21fbbacked No24c4,164$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,161.545349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes63c4,148$2,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.3469634.9%243 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Yes25c2,658$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.1216535.8%59 W · 106 L+18.3wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+86.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed No30c2,497$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.8710055%55 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…9661backed Yes70c2,334$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.5516854.8%92 W · 76 L+22.8wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+56%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7fd3…e662backed No26c2,298$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.528127.2%22 W · 59 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551e…b0e0backed Yes6c1,960$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.794744.7%21 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+52.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes71c1,942$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.5216943.2%73 W · 96 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x516d…03e5backed Yes80c1,796$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.815238.8%59 W · 93 L-13.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No61c1,689$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.0422347.5%106 W · 117 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe08d…d5d4backed No25c1,223$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.981450%7 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+53.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes77c1,138$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.6641238.8%160 W · 252 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed No35c1,042$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.486838.2%26 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed Yes72c920$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.4128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick31cpaid-88.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes68c919.83$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.0416725.1%42 W · 125 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad95…8e7fbacked Yes63c622.95$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x140b…24b3backed Yes3c618.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b5…d249backed Yes72c571.47$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.463333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes61c560$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.62619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-61.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes23c520.26$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.662321.7%5 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1f0…e173backed Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6994…7112backed Yes70c480.91$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.834156.1%23 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+66.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x23cf…3349backed No21c450$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.54065%26 W · 14 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b05…c6c8backed Yes74c406.32$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.41520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-73.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No22c400$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3124434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2525…b919backed No48c376.96$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4413943.2%60 W · 79 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed No33c367.63$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.5137533.3%125 W · 250 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes4c356.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.422154.2%9 W · 206 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd44e…67e2backed No30c342.22$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.295451.9%28 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13b3…10febacked Yes62c323.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5da1…980bbacked No48c307.89$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.131838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdec1…d355backed Yes34c295.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100150%0 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No24c253.83$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0156733.2%188 W · 379 L-40.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6115…2a89backed Yes55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.863844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0ae…9b16backed Yes78c250$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.761729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No52c248.16$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.021,07335.5%381 W · 692 L-70.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c46…a137backed No24c225.26$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.151729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+35.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e88…0670backed Yes80c200.1$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed No24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1527038.6%27 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ed…47d8backed No29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14214241.5%59 W · 83 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd66c…97e3backed No24c200$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.15726.3%15 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+34.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6139…6b7abacked Yes66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1325641.1%23 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes29c199.23$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.596319.8%191 W · 772 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74c3…bbe6backed Yes8c193$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154522.2%10 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fd…0198backed No29c191.4$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.615924.5%39 W · 120 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2134…0734backed Yes62c188.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.73537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a48…22e8backed No66c169.48$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3913167.9%89 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x297a…92e0backed No23c167.91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.565735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3eb…0829backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003023.3%7 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-51.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88ff…ac66backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x879b…2f18backed Yes63c159.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004429.5%13 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x359d…7f8dbacked Yes66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.57714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-71.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a3d…615ebacked No28c134.63$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.292817.9%5 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-59.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8196…ab69backed Yes80c133.49$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.795532.7%18 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4344…f90dbacked No76c132.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1118746.5%87 W · 100 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde26…0972backed Yes71c124.15$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.087562.7%47 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes30c120$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610324.3%25 W · 78 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8182…7cf5backed Yes77c119.7$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.22133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes12c116.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142847.7%22 W · 262 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No67c114.97$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.499629.5%294 W · 702 L-73.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42a6…1b64backed No26c109.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2611940.3%48 W · 71 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+4.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6a7…29e2backed No23c108.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+62.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed No25c108.05$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2817713%23 W · 154 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785532.7%18 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3325241.7%105 W · 147 L-17.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ffa…4638backed Yes61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda71…ddd4backed Yes79c98.83$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked Yes59c79.36$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8214125.5%36 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5638…224dbacked Yes51c78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7817238.4%66 W · 106 L-14.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x81f0…a149backed No26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.922040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x925a…3e7fbacked No17c75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.251361.5%8 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick30cpaid+122.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x546d…e5cfbacked Yes60c69.57$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.531464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes75c67.52$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9115124.5%37 W · 114 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-42%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked No20c66.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.125343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1560…670cbacked Yes77c65.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…a820backed Yes77c64.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa568…12f6backed No20c60$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.84052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xded5…d9cabacked Yes63c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.87825.6%20 W · 58 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc389…7212backed No22c58.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+419.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Yes60c58.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.927447.3%35 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2d9…5653backed No35c54.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.746645.5%30 W · 36 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+55.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x31a4…1ee7backed Yes67c53.73$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362615.4%4 W · 22 L-6.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-78.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x6b13…a72bbacked Yes56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f1…bb92backed No38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0623…35dbbacked Yes77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-79%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c09…1ba5backed No53c49.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.57441.9%31 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfa…ce5dbacked No25c49.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.762552%13 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x572b…39d3backed No41c48.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea6c…e4a5backed Yes65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7a…c585backed No23c43.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3111918.5%22 W · 97 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ace…ed20backed Yes75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.87475.7%56 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes68c34.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.66065%39 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x624a…98aabacked No59c33.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6719…744dbacked Yes61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa263…72c5backed Yes67c30.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb73…a4bebacked Yes75c29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.752814.3%4 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x793f…4ee5backed Yes74c26.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.635673.2%41 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb29b…0ed4backed Yes60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick63cpaid-61.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes72c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.