Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in his first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeabab81c67312e0dc6db6e9a497d18e25bcfe8d802ee6cc3681649db04335ee3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 79c | 4,830$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 24c | 4,164$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.54 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 63c | 4,148$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.34 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 25c | 2,658$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.12 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 30c | 2,497$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.87 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 70c | 2,334$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.55 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 26c | 2,298$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.52 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 6c | 1,960$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.79 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 71c | 1,942$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.52 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 80c | 1,796$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.8 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 61c | 1,689$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.04 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed No | 25c | 1,223$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,138$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.66 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 35c | 1,042$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.48 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Yes | 72c | 920$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.4 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 68c | 919.83$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.04 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad95…8e7fbacked Yes | 63c | 622.95$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x140b…24b3backed Yes | 3c | 618.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed Yes | 72c | 571.47$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.46 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 61c | 560$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.6 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 23c | 520.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…7112backed Yes | 70c | 480.91$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.83 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…3349backed No | 21c | 450$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.5 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b05…c6c8backed Yes | 74c | 406.32$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 22c | 400$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 48c | 376.96$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 33c | 367.63$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.51 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 4c | 356.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 30c | 342.22$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.29 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13b3…10febacked Yes | 62c | 323.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…980bbacked No | 48c | 307.89$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.13 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…d355backed Yes | 34c | 295.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 24c | 253.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.01 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed Yes | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.86 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…9b16backed Yes | 78c | 250$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.76 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 52c | 248.16$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.02 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…a137backed No | 24c | 225.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…0670backed Yes | 80c | 200.1$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed No | 24c | 200$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.1 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 29c | 199.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…bbe6backed Yes | 8c | 193$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 29c | 191.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.6 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2134…0734backed Yes | 62c | 188.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 66c | 169.48$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 23c | 167.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.56 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…0829backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…ac66backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 63c | 159.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x359d…7f8dbacked Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3d…615ebacked No | 28c | 134.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed Yes | 80c | 133.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 76c | 132.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed Yes | 71c | 124.15$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.08 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…7cf5backed Yes | 77c | 119.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 12c | 116.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 67c | 114.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 26c | 109.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.26 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…29e2backed No | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 25c | 108.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.28 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…4638backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…ddd4backed Yes | 79c | 98.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 59c | 79.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 51c | 78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 172 | 38.4%66 W · 106 L | -14.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…a149backed No | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x925a…3e7fbacked No | 17c | 75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 30cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x546d…e5cfbacked Yes | 60c | 69.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 75c | 67.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 20c | 66.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1560…670cbacked Yes | 77c | 65.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…a820backed Yes | 77c | 64.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed No | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc389…7212backed No | 22c | 58.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +419.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 60c | 58.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed No | 35c | 54.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…1ee7backed Yes | 67c | 53.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -6.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…a72bbacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…bb92backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -79%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed No | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfa…ce5dbacked No | 25c | 49.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x572b…39d3backed No | 41c | 48.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6c…e4a5backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 23c | 43.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 68c | 34.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…98aabacked No | 59c | 33.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…744dbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…72c5backed Yes | 67c | 30.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…a4bebacked Yes | 75c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed Yes | 74c | 26.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 56 | 73.2%41 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb29b…0ed4backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in his first 100 days?this page
- Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in his first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in his first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump meet with MrBeast in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump meet with Narendra Modi in his first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Francis in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in his first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.