Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in his first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8834c7ad3a6f044bd8657185dfdccd74d34e5914c7b7b187cd983224553b3ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $541,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $410,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $541,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64b2…e9e8backed Yes | 55c | 91,133$50,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,827.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1699…80e2backed No | 45c | 91,059$40,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,794.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 0c | 34,707$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…2e03backed No | 2c | 34,207$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 2c | 22,525$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.37 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 77c | 19,396$14,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,475.56 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 17c | 16,441$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.85 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 5c | 16,000$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 5c | 14,162$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.41 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 26c | 10,158$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.29 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 4c | 8,588$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 36c | 7,451$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.92 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd0…8a13backed No | 0c | 7,347$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked No | 2c | 6,953$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 100 | 7%7 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…6cfdbacked No | 2c | 6,087$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.79 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.36per pick | 42cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…3290backed No | 2c | 6,010$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 51c | 5,563$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.86 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…aae9backed Yes | 78c | 5,321$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 14c | 5,197$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.68 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 17c | 4,529$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.55 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31ea…0140backed No | 10c | 4,145$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.55 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fca…7477backed No | 28c | 3,643$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 69c | 3,017$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.15 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 1c | 2,591$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850d…aae1backed Yes | 54c | 2,185$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a36…bd73backed Yes | 58c | 2,080$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce1…2bbabacked Yes | 57c | 1,539$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…3e0bbacked No | 2c | 1,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 41c | 1,467$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.08 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…658cbacked Yes | 64c | 1,248$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.58 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 8c | 1,192$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 12c | 1,183$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33ff…3be6backed No | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 14c | 1,041$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.64 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…ba38backed Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…6a3ebacked Yes | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 14c | 749.48$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 69c | 700.18$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.06 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Yes | 50c | 689$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 40c | 668.77$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.95 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 66c | 666$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 8c | 661.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…5824backed Yes | 73c | 622.1$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 61c | 605.48$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.2 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…085ebacked Yes | 51c | 600.85$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…3c60backed No | 18c | 584.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 12c | 500$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff37…049cbacked Yes | 76c | 455.46$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169b…30c9backed Yes | 60c | 439.99$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 63c | 380.98$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.77 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0665…4c8fbacked Yes | 53c | 364.79$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3d…615ebacked No | 31c | 343.75$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…e78bbacked Yes | 55c | 341.38$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.21 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 44c | 329$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.21 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc354…de11backed Yes | 70c | 319.1$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…e8b4backed Yes | 72c | 281.71$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed No | 17c | 261$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Yes | 80c | 250.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed Yes | 55c | 236.51$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c0…d6dcbacked Yes | 71c | 212.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…be25backed Yes | 70c | 204$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3f3cbacked Yes | 68c | 201.01$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 15c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd452…03e0backed Yes | 54c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 50c | 193.24$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 31c | 181.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…e2ffbacked Yes | 63c | 166.58$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 45c | 159$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x069f…b749backed Yes | 62c | 146.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba3…9592backed Yes | 51c | 146.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 68c | 133.46$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cb…27b3backed Yes | 74c | 129.66$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 12c | 127.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 172 | 38.4%66 W · 106 L | -14.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5e…3e95backed No | 39c | 125.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked No | 23c | 122.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed No | 36c | 111.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 75c | 111$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08eb…ee62backed Yes | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6906…9995backed Yes | 58c | 103.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 12c | 102.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…e497backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…a137backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…0829backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…08aebacked No | 39c | 96.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…74cabacked Yes | 57c | 94.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 78c | 93.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9366…3b90backed No | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…5377backed Yes | 55c | 79.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed Yes | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…ac66backed Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…7016backed No | 25c | 68.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 43c | 65.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 80c | 65.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…873ebacked Yes | 58c | 65.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in his first 100 days?this page
- Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in his first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in his first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump meet with MrBeast in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump meet with Narendra Modi in his first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Francis in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.