NFL · resolved market
Will Travis Hunter play offense and defense?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38f1ef47821249f229245352d5deee604d95fb0c86aa4cd0e4892223d0d1aa37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45d7…bc74backed Yes | 39c | 124,000$48,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,640 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…b5dcbacked No | 61c | 124,000$75,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,640 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 77c | 3,314$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.37 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked No | 17c | 2,410$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Yes | 80c | 1,858$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.82 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9596…b1e4backed No | 33c | 1,535$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.73 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 76c | 1,067$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.21 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 21c | 906.32$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.5 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed No | 15c | 633.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae89…9fb7backed No | 19c | 577.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f76…b8e0backed No | 18c | 550.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 34c | 479.95$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.26 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc7…d48ebacked No | 15c | 478.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked No | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 43c | 389.28$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.04 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 15c | 226.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…a58bbacked No | 38c | 180.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…41d8backed No | 15c | 176.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x654b…c791backed Yes | 58c | 173.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 16c | 148.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes | 32c | 138.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x003d…7a58backed No | 45c | 136$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 16c | 133.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No | 27c | 122.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967c…a16dbacked Yes | 40c | 116$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 30c | 103.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa54…c182backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…c6d6backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 33c | 94.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 22c | 90.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 57c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 64c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 61c | 78.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 26c | 77.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 20c | 76.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ce…e4dabacked No | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 16c | 65.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 64c | 63.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c72…1e3abacked Yes | 58c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…9bd5backed No | 25c | 52.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…4b07backed No | 40c | 51.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b2…90f4backed Yes | 61c | 51.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9292…2cd1backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d71…af7abacked No | 30c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 34c | 46.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 70c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed No | 68c | 39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 46c | 36.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0aa…914fbacked Yes | 40c | 35.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 39c | 35.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…dff2backed Yes | 53c | 33.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bac…eb75backed Yes | 40c | 30.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…51c1backed No | 68c | 30.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ce…bc1ebacked No | 40c | 29.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…e311backed No | 65c | 28.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd21…1fc3backed No | 44c | 28.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba1…1c1fbacked No | 74c | 23.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…965fbacked No | 68c | 22.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361d…4c72backed No | 64c | 22.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…121cbacked Yes | 49c | 20.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa641…a68abacked Yes | 77c | 13.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Travis Hunter play offense and defense?this page
- Travis Hunter doesn't play Offense or Defense in first 4 games?No won
- Will Travis Hunter only play defense?No won
- Will Travis hunter only play offense?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.