NFL · resolved market
Will Travis Hunter only play defense?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd45de58f9bfe9414bd1649c6f94cc0503e6fa414b65f28ab5c929f96fd013d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbba…d41ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,174$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 2c | 1,333$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd516…45edbacked Yes | 25c | 392.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes | 48c | 329.4$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.44 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…1425backed Yes | 7c | 271.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dca…48b9backed Yes | 28c | 167.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 15c | 127.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b0…f9a8backed No | 71c | 110.12$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…47bdbacked No | 66c | 97.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf8…d384backed Yes | 21c | 94.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 75c | 83.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7167…8ea3backed Yes | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 34c | 42.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 31c | 39.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5b…52bbbacked Yes | 34c | 39.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 52c | 37.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 46c | 32.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…5bb1backed No | 68c | 20.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b2…1dc9backed No | 73c | 19.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 78c | 18.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d43…283bbacked No | 68c | 17.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…ee31backed No | 73c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Travis Hunter only play defense?this page
- Travis Hunter doesn't play Offense or Defense in first 4 games?No won
- Will Travis Hunter play offense and defense?Yes won
- Will Travis hunter only play offense?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.