NFL · resolved market
Will Travis hunter only play offense?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x887c260deafc9128f83b7f5f776440c06f0e62722b6e64bd0fcf69186a50b38e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes | 15c | 3,143$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.24 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,572$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9596…b1e4backed Yes | 31c | 1,075$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 15c | 656.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7824…286fbacked Yes | 11c | 414.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 17c | 353.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed No | 77c | 335.42$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…1081backed Yes | 10c | 327.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Yes | 14c | 279$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 29c | 243$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 72c | 235.82$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fa…2891backed Yes | 11c | 165$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…1425backed Yes | 12c | 160.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31bd…1681backed Yes | 13c | 133$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 80c | 117$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf623…d538backed Yes | 9c | 105.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b0…f9a8backed No | 63c | 72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…722dbacked No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…47bdbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Travis hunter only play offense?this page
- Travis Hunter doesn't play Offense or Defense in first 4 games?No won
- Will Travis Hunter only play defense?No won
- Will Travis Hunter play offense and defense?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.