NFL · resolved market
Will Patrick Mahomes win Super Bowl LIX MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc3643fced4412fb20f9d4c5a20a924c1e3d7497cb6d089b859351346bb425af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 55c | 86,009$47,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,964.83 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…f346backed Yes | 46c | 66,687$30,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,533.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 44c | 28,915$12,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,722.4 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…cc69backed Yes | 44c | 12,979$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,750.07 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…7ce1backed Yes | 6c | 12,587$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.31 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 56c | 10,827$6,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,771.97 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…fa77backed Yes | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes | 3c | 8,215$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Yes | 43c | 7,914$3,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,403.24 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…3ef8backed No | 56c | 7,765$4,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Yes | 44c | 7,300$3,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.9 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 43c | 5,500$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.9 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 55c | 4,370$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.4 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 44c | 4,234$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.54 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 56c | 4,095$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.86 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Yes | 44c | 3,737$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.28 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 5c | 3,059$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.84 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…d13cbacked Yes | 46c | 2,183$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…69debacked Yes | 46c | 2,175$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 55c | 1,946$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed Yes | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed Yes | 46c | 1,309$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.46 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.28per pick | 34cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…4850backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 44c | 1,131$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.1 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +630%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked No | 55c | 999.89$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.95 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed Yes | 40c | 955.75$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.3 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde4…c6a4backed Yes | 44c | 912.02$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 46c | 884.78$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17aa…cb3dbacked No | 57c | 864.88$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875a…4290backed Yes | 45c | 829.16$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 56c | 750$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed0…679cbacked Yes | 9c | 576.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 55c | 549.98$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.49 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 44c | 499.93$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.97 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd249…6a1dbacked Yes | 45c | 444.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…b468backed Yes | 45c | 442.04$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 44c | 400.59$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7090…0414backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 64c | 397.91$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.53 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed No | 56c | 369.64$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.64 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 57c | 361$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.23 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…08e5backed No | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed No | 55c | 332.97$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.83 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 39c | 309.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 44c | 251.62$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed No | 51c | 250$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Yes | 8c | 239.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…781abacked Yes | 44c | 227.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…48f2backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 55c | 220$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 55c | 210.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980f…5b55backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x943d…7d1abacked No | 57c | 197.09$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…8592backed Yes | 44c | 196$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8237…be01backed No | 56c | 186.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed No | 55c | 185.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e3…5a08backed Yes | 45c | 162.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 57c | 143$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Yes | 45c | 137.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 28c | 122.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…7e18backed Yes | 45c | 118.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…efddbacked Yes | 45c | 118.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Yes | 43c | 118.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b59…eccdbacked No | 57c | 115.91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e48…c23bbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4de…7845backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd430…1f89backed Yes | 45c | 112.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…22f2backed Yes | 45c | 109.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…0533backed Yes | 44c | 107.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…f71bbacked Yes | 37c | 107$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f61…fc7dbacked Yes | 45c | 104.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…f420backed No | 57c | 104.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…a29cbacked No | 57c | 103$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…7745backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1108…cb47backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ab…651abacked Yes | 45c | 98.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b1…05cebacked No | 57c | 95.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…f47cbacked No | 56c | 95.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc2…426cbacked No | 57c | 94.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…be9fbacked No | 57c | 94.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebe…2f35backed Yes | 44c | 93.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…2506backed Yes | 44c | 93.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 40c | 92.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9d…fc59backed No | 57c | 92.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3e71backed No | 56c | 92.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080d…9874backed No | 56c | 91.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…a53bbacked Yes | 44c | 91.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…1fb8backed No | 56c | 90.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Patrick Mahomes win Super Bowl LIX MVP?this page
- Will AJ Brown win Super Bowl LIX MVP?No won
- Will Devonta Smith win Super Bowl LIX MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Hurts win Super Bowl LIX MVP?Yes won
- Will Jayden Daniels win Super Bowl LIX MVP?No won
- Will Saquon Barkley win Super Bowl LIX MVP?No won
- Will Travis Kelce win Super Bowl LIX MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.