TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Falcons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Panthers, Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$700,283
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$763,249

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $700,283 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 408 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe6a2…6af8backed Falcons73c200,000$145,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144,999.9812570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Panthers37c129,181$47,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,308.8520634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb511…01dabacked Falcons67c98,071$65,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,399.993080%24 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Panthers28c86,699$23,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,836.1225137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Panthers31c48,673$15,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,391.9925643.8%112 W · 144 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb93d…8949backed Panthers42c23,811$10,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,810.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Panthers31c23,153$7,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,891.0244246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers35c20,261$7,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,078.8431848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers23c19,718$4,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,133.6860049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9483…39b2backed Falcons51c15,500$7,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,930.831947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Panthers42c12,627$5,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,371.6710639.6%42 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Panthers24c12,401$3,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,368.5922638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Panthers27c10,792$2,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,927.499645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed Panthers30c8,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6003743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Panthers22c7,613$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,938.5228447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Panthers20c6,419$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,104.882626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Falcons21c5,152$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.6210334%35 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x015d…6f8bbacked Panthers70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Panthers72c4,372$3,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.334755.3%26 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Falcons60c4,055$2,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,432.863135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80eb…5bfcbacked Falcons79c3,821$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe17…98e9backed Panthers22c3,407$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,657.425750.9%29 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2dd0…7b4fbacked Panthers18c3,176$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,611.934323.3%10 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63bf…e319backed Panthers22c2,738$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.68729.9%26 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Panthers36c2,710$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.8623850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc64d…a1c9backed Falcons78c2,690$2,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,095.86233.9%21 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcd…1bc7backed Falcons78c2,624$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,046.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d8e…77b6backed Falcons74c2,560$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9001163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Falcons76c2,500$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.9928556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Panthers42c2,493$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.8611139.6%44 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbe…85a3backed Falcons78c2,200$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ef…1b6ebacked Panthers22c2,185$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b2…841cbacked Falcons3c2,002$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.041811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-40.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0e…113dbacked Falcons79c2,000$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5802391.3%21 W · 2 L+6.0wins+0.26per pick65cpaid+44.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x989f…0af2backed Panthers23c2,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+117.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Panthers49c2,000$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.0910768.2%73 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2934…e27abacked Falcons77c1,998$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Panthers24c1,854$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.55650%28 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Panthers18c1,697$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.9622838.6%88 W · 140 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Panthers22c1,479$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.6211738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Falcons32c1,448$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.64546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Panthers65c1,433$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.4714248.6%69 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Panthers41c1,430$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.3710345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Panthers15c1,407$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.3314022.9%32 W · 108 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Falcons51c1,243$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.016956.5%39 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Falcons79c1,200$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94833047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Falcons1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104615.2%7 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-74.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Panthers43c1,000$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.5629356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Falcons80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80030446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Falcons78c1,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78017558.9%103 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Falcons1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10130%0 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Falcons78c1,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78010738.3%41 W · 66 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b26…8640backed Falcons80c990$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7921855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Falcons75c950$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.887071.4%50 W · 20 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+18.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0964…d727backed Falcons70c895.68$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.961450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac1…2da1backed Falcons71c880.28$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6251258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Falcons5c878.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.454311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Falcons77c861.98$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.9519543.6%85 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f53…07f4backed Panthers60c830.36$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.361283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1c46…3e5cbacked Falcons79c784.88$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6191172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…f7d7backed Panthers22c768.13$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.141020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Falcons2c750$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51013%3 W · 98 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Falcons2c729$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.711128%9 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+413.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Falcons78c727.3$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.37541.3%31 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Falcons71c706.35$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.2852828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Panthers40c685.08$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick24cpaid+239.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc59f…c364backed Falcons25c670.54$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.862520%5 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed Panthers73c638.36$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.365261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Falcons79c632.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016275.3%122 W · 40 L+17.3wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+17.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x39ae…0268backed Falcons79c632.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Falcons80c625$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017548%84 W · 91 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…efa8backed Falcons75c609$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.91250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58e6…2c48backed Falcons2c600$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe330…1674backed Panthers59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2461650%8 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd95…99f2backed Panthers22c600$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46815722.3%35 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Falcons75c600$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.238459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Falcons80c597.83$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.2615252%79 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Panthers40c587.05$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.383842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers21c582.38$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.2231854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cf1…7fc8backed Falcons55c550$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.53243.8%14 W · 18 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-34.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Panthers47c525.86$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.098650%43 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f9…2aa8backed Falcons77c518.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40029059.7%173 W · 117 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Panthers23c515.43$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.881631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed Panthers73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1354100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3421…54d4backed Falcons65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfba1…6d31backed Panthers35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x444e…01d0backed Falcons79c500$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3953650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5781…e19fbacked Panthers24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.01922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd45…63bfbacked Falcons77c479.91$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Panthers63c477.02$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.021533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45e1…f42dbacked Falcons79c474.68$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37520733.8%70 W · 137 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa728…5a45backed Panthers28c461.93$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.592030%6 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcac2…d644backed Panthers71c456.34$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.341662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28f3…3299backed Panthers23c452.19$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+45%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Falcons65c444.98$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.7425453.9%137 W · 117 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Falcons78c443.99$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.3120736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Falcons80c432.5$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3465766.7%38 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Panthers24c424.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+71.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c57…9780backed Panthers48c416.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.771855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8e…fba1backed Falcons78c400$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3121353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.