NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f32dee0b1c1f5cb3c022e9cb7f0cb91b971997c2367ee827128cdab729f37fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,469,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,686,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,469,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 653 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x038d…d484backed Rockets | 51c | 250,275$128,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,547.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Warriors | 47c | 146,451$69,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,151.19 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Rockets | 51c | 65,265$33,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,299.16 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked Warriors | 64c | 56,092$35,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,360.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Warriors | 47c | 53,868$25,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,505.97 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Warriors | 46c | 38,012$17,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,386.07 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 70c | 37,703$26,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,471.18 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Rockets | 35c | 33,055$11,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,420.68 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Warriors | 46c | 21,847$10,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,794.5 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 51c | 20,000$10,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,164.95 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Rockets | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.8 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Rockets | 28c | 19,150$5,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,445.09 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 55c | 17,381$9,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,761.39 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Warriors | 49c | 15,933$7,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,158.08 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Rockets | 29c | 15,601$4,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,488.72 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Warriors | 46c | 14,008$6,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500.94 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Rockets | 50c | 12,366$6,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,183.85 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Warriors | 76c | 12,218$9,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.53 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Warriors | 61c | 11,459$7,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,442.88 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Rockets | 50c | 10,641$5,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,334.51 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…dcafbacked Rockets | 52c | 10,036$5,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,218.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Warriors | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600.04 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockets | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.84 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Rockets | 6c | 9,931$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.69 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Rockets | 52c | 9,820$5,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,124.25 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 20c | 9,341$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.58 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…730dbacked Warriors | 79c | 9,068$7,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.04 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Warriors | 42c | 8,756$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,085.89 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Warriors | 57c | 8,733$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,738.62 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Rockets | 55c | 8,196$4,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,522.39 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Rockets | 0c | 8,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Rockets | 54c | 7,065$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.93 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Rockets | 58c | 6,833$3,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,947.82 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked Rockets | 50c | 6,824$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Rockets | 21c | 6,806$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.85 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Rockets | 24c | 6,176$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.42 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Warriors | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Warriors | 49c | 6,000$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Warriors | 44c | 5,680$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.6 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Rockets | 51c | 5,645$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.4 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockets | 34c | 5,178$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.72 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rockets | 22c | 5,028$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.59 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Rockets | 45c | 4,828$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.23 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Warriors | 45c | 4,669$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.52 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Rockets | 52c | 4,572$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.04 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 50c | 4,382$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.46 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…3589backed Warriors | 48c | 4,300$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Warriors | 76c | 4,206$3,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.1 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bc…6099backed Rockets | 51c | 4,098$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Rockets | 52c | 3,995$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.85 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee63…07a4backed Rockets | 50c | 3,900$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Rockets | 23c | 3,832$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Warriors | 79c | 3,748$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.1 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Warriors | 49c | 3,599$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.95 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 46c | 3,395$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.03 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Rockets | 19c | 3,378$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.58 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Rockets | 30c | 3,369$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.01 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Warriors | 48c | 3,144$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.87 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Warriors | 47c | 3,131$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.49 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Rockets | 1c | 3,016$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Warriors | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Rockets | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…303bbacked Warriors | 43c | 2,929$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Rockets | 57c | 2,900$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.65 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Rockets | 24c | 2,693$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.52 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Warriors | 76c | 2,586$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.13 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Warriors | 49c | 2,573$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.38 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Rockets | 51c | 2,565$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.84 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Rockets | 25c | 2,550$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.72 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…d44ebacked Warriors | 48c | 2,537$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Rockets | 28c | 2,389$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.03 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Rockets | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Warriors | 50c | 2,308$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.96 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 51c | 2,174$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.96 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Rockets | 55c | 2,153$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b28…4843backed Rockets | 55c | 2,140$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Rockets | 52c | 2,098$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.49 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rockets | 1c | 2,050$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Warriors | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Warriors | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Rockets | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c6…9733backed Rockets | 52c | 1,856$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Warriors | 55c | 1,837$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.93 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…4623backed Warriors | 77c | 1,835$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets | 51c | 1,790$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.97 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…d1a2backed Warriors | 49c | 1,745$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.89 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63d8…b86abacked Warriors | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.67 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Rockets | 54c | 1,665$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Rockets | 20c | 1,655$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Rockets | 52c | 1,542$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Warriors | 75c | 1,501$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.65 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Rockets | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Rockets | 51c | 1,485$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.18 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…e458backed Rockets | 23c | 1,475$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.68 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Warriors | 55c | 1,459$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.36 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a7…f964backed Rockets | 42c | 1,444$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockets | 47c | 1,406$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.2 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Rockets | 1c | 1,400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Rockets | 36c | 1,344$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.94 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.